NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0af2d02519ecfbc2150ed40e695f686f948706edc893d89a8e17813f67545a8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 68c | 30,440$20,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,632.7 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 11,928$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450.52 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Under | 33c | 7,381$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.89 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 31c | 6,817$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.47 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 3,760$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.71 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.51 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 53c | 2,702$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.57 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…f5acbacked Under | 46c | 2,239$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 31c | 2,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 1,920$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 9c | 1,772$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.99 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 30c | 1,500$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 20c | 799.86$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.61 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Under | 26c | 530.62$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.69 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 441.99$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 41c | 382.21$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.81 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Under | 13c | 381.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 46c | 326.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.41 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Under | 36c | 322$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 62c | 309.04$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 31c | 300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 31c | 298.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 47c | 293.62$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Under | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 16c | 189.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 54c | 186$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…6bc7backed Over | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 75c | 121.23$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 40c | 120.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…7933backed Under | 26c | 116.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 34c | 90.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…afe5backed Under | 38c | 90.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 33c | 89.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Under | 39c | 85.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 25c | 63.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf2…396ebacked Under | 38c | 49.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 43.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 45c | 32.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 47c | 27.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Under | 39c | 27.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdd…a15abacked Over | 80c | 25.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa448…81a1backed Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 220.5this page
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. NetsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Nets: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.