NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83dd6b72488d7c12415e0ad9bd32e21b94823b14b6b3f566c35ffeb4f7af7166
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $610,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $611,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $610,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 55c | 498,722$275,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223,345.77 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets | 45c | 292,777$131,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,749.65 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets | 44c | 37,500$16,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,624.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 46c | 36,984$16,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,887.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nets | 43c | 36,132$15,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,536.79 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Warriors | 50c | 22,064$10,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,116.19 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 45c | 22,048$10,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,016.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Warriors | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,199.95 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Nets | 45c | 18,888$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.6 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nets | 46c | 18,021$8,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,202.44 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nets | 45c | 16,859$7,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,656.91 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Warriors | 52c | 13,700$7,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,576 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Nets | 50c | 10,100$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nets | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nets | 50c | 7,971$3,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,983.93 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nets | 46c | 7,800$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.8 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Warriors | 45c | 7,704$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,249.75 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Nets | 45c | 7,304$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.06 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 48c | 6,213$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.37 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 49c | 5,623$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.29 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nets | 48c | 5,020$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.6 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 48c | 4,505$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Warriors | 53c | 3,795$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.81 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Warriors | 54c | 3,676$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.6 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nets | 46c | 3,629$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.34 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nets | 46c | 3,241$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.26 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Nets | 46c | 3,000$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Nets | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nets | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Nets | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…93a3backed Nets | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…cd76backed Warriors | 45c | 1,853$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.15 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Warriors | 53c | 1,653$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.83 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nets | 46c | 1,564$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.19 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Nets | 46c | 1,502$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.92 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Nets | 52c | 1,422$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.5 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Warriors | 53c | 1,363$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.78 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Nets | 57c | 1,121$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.93 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Warriors | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…4775backed Warriors | 46c | 1,063$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Nets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Nets | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nets | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Warriors | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Warriors | 54c | 716.58$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.92 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Warriors | 45c | 694.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.47 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Nets | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Nets | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Warriors | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nets | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Nets | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Nets | 48c | 418$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Warriors | 45c | 415.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.79 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Nets | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Nets | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Nets | 46c | 261.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.16 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nets | 48c | 243.89$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.01 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nets | 51c | 240$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Nets | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Warriors | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Nets | 51c | 217.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…6df7backed Nets | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nets | 48c | 210.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Nets | 50c | 203.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Nets | 47c | 201.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Nets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…8defbacked Nets | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.6wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Nets | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Warriors | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Nets | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…a5dabacked Nets | 53c | 144.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Warriors | 53c | 131.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nets | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Nets | 54c | 121.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Nets | 51c | 111$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Nets | 54c | 108.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nets | 51c | 108$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nets | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Nets | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Nets | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Nets | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…bfaebacked Nets | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Warriors | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Nets | 55c | 92.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…19d4backed Warriors | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Nets | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Nets | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Nets | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Warriors | 45c | 77.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Nets | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Nets | 48c | 74.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nets | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Nets | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Nets | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Nets | 58c | 69.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Nets | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b06…14a7backed Nets | 55c | 66.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Nets | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Nets | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…74cfbacked Nets | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)this page
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. NetsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Nets: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.