NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e00089648f7724fd548932535e0d6e54e6a41329fe0b74cc1a936c0319845b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 52c | 162,964$84,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,263.47 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 48c | 91,442$44,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,163.84 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nets | 52c | 26,507$13,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,738.48 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nets | 48c | 20,070$9,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,733.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 50c | 16,237$8,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,096.16 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets | 48c | 10,011$4,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,805.32 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 47c | 9,466$4,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,451.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Warriors | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nets | 50c | 4,973$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.5 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Nets | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Nets | 49c | 4,000$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Nets | 51c | 2,925$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.95 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nets | 48c | 2,615$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.21 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Nets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Nets | 51c | 1,972$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Nets | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Warriors | 48c | 1,943$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.17 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Warriors | 49c | 1,895$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.19 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Warriors | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Nets | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Nets | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Nets | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nets | 49c | 876.33$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.15 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 57c | 763.01$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.6 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Warriors | 42c | 718.96$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Warriors | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…36f0backed Warriors | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Warriors | 47c | 325.29$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Nets | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Nets | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Nets | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Warriors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Nets | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Nets | 52c | 136.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Nets | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…21cbbacked Nets | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Nets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Nets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Nets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nets | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Warriors | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Nets | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Nets | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors | 49c | 56.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…9b10backed Nets | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe360…421cbacked Nets | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Nets | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 49c | 40.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Nets | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Warriors | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Nets | 50c | 38.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Nets | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Nets | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…301dbacked Warriors | 51c | 37.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Warriors | 49c | 35.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Nets | 47c | 30.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Warriors | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…afe5backed Nets | 50c | 21.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0854…fb45backed Warriors | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)this page
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. NetsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Nets: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 222.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.