NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ff99539302b65596a11abb2a7d1456a1949dbca76bc5547460244df9cc93cc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98b5…e61fbacked Under | 55c | 8,877$4,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845.95 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Over | 58c | 4,790$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.8 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…15fabacked Under | 55c | 3,544$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.84 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 52c | 3,185$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.72 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 56c | 2,635$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.46 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Under | 43c | 2,436$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.8 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…d4efbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…2ad2backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…92f4backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e5…eec3backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Under | 43c | 1,820$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.6 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.25 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 996.15$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 49c | 508.47$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.32 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 42c | 335.59$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 58c | 325.5$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.71 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Over | 56c | 322.21$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.77 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Over | 53c | 312.49$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.87 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 45c | 240$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Over | 47c | 239.74$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Under | 44c | 206.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 55c | 202.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 194.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Under | 43c | 147.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed Over | 53c | 144.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Over | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Over | 49c | 116.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…ed02backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 45c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 45c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 45c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Over | 53c | 32.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…95ccbacked Over | 47c | 26.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 48c | 24.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Over | 63c | 23.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 222.5this page
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. NetsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Nets: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Nets: O/U 226.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.