Middle East · resolved market
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f6c2929a76ca0cff9c9064e04b952bd9d2379b16f9fb2af1e97bddb9b8559db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $519,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $523,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 577 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked Yes | 69c | 8,985$6,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.84 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -16.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 2c | 7,284$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 6,991$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 3c | 6,405$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 5,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 49c | 5,278$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.46 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked No | 68c | 4,905$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 61c | 4,804$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.56 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 63c | 4,373$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.98 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…fc71backed Yes | 18c | 4,326$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,526.09 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 3,835$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.34 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9336…e8f6backed No | 1c | 3,823$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 5c | 3,691$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.93 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked No | 54c | 3,691$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 10c | 3,481$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,121.07 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…cbefbacked Yes | 51c | 3,344$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 11c | 3,326$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.92 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…955bbacked No | 4c | 3,036$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 3,012$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 1c | 3,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…6510backed Yes | 33c | 2,946$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 16c | 2,940$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.92 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 2,887$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 10c | 2,806$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.58 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…b87fbacked Yes | 39c | 2,790$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.23 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 70c | 2,525$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.64 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | -17.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 68c | 2,314$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.39 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked No | 41c | 2,287$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.2 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8129…5f30backed No | 5c | 2,243$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.19 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…a47fbacked No | 3c | 2,058$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…8201backed Yes | 50c | 2,052$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.47 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +15.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…3d98backed Yes | 24c | 2,028$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +1,095.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x92e2…1a7cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,025$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | +268%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 47c | 1,983$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 55c | 1,934$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.24 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…a456backed Yes | 12c | 1,930$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.45 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 47c | 1,912$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.83 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 18c | 1,853$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.75 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8179…4403backed Yes | 48c | 1,796$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.51 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 69c | 1,654$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.3 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -16.0wins | -0.39per pick | 63cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 23-0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 6c | 1,642$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 5c | 1,602$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743b…d0fdbacked No | 2c | 1,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fc…ce0bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,461$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed No | 7c | 1,437$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1d…f471backed No | 5c | 1,423$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 43c | 1,410$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.68 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 55c | 1,408$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.82 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed No | 6c | 1,400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…6f7abacked No | 20c | 1,356$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 10c | 1,350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +25.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x872e…e58fbacked No | 8c | 1,320$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…69e0backed Yes | 62c | 1,296$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 46c | 1,251$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.09 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2e…c312backed No | 4c | 1,244$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 74c | 1,238$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.87 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed No | 14c | 1,228$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.68 | 191 | 19.9%38 W · 153 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 4c | 1,200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 197 | 6.6%13 W · 184 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 9c | 1,186$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 54c | 1,168$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,120$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.93 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c17…6a7ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,118$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.9 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…6834backed Yes | 47c | 1,105$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.16 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,087$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.43 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 15c | 1,075$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.98 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…1dc2backed Yes | 51c | 1,050$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.5 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed No | 5c | 1,023$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 120 | 23.3%28 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…7e38backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b99…413bbacked No | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed No | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 54c | 999.99$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…c745backed No | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 28c | 997.01$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.59 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Yes | 52c | 986.86$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 62c | 980.58$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.23 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 43c | 975.23$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.11 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 57c | 952$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.64 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1689…8656backed No | 5c | 950$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9846…ca9ebacked No | 51c | 931.53$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.47 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb464…1d98backed No | 6c | 909.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 2c | 907.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked Yes | 43c | 902$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 49c | 900.47$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.92 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 4c | 900$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 118 | 16.1%19 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 35c | 879.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.49 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…cd38backed Yes | 49c | 875.55$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.78 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…67e3backed Yes | 16c | 867.78$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.78 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…ea5dbacked Yes | 52c | 857.57$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.64 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 45c | 854.4$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.12 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 10c | 850$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…460cbacked Yes | 53c | 835.09$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed No | 6c | 800$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…7f07backed No | 6c | 800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 24.2%23 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 31c | 800$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…fd85backed No | 3c | 799.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 20c | 796.21$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.81 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…aa87backed No | 6c | 787.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 30c | 776.42$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.82 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd527…ae2ebacked No | 7c | 770.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?this page
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.