Middle East · resolved market
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78f4347a665630c6f773fb90193531ab4ab0383333f04f960a9215a0cd76eb5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 24,851$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.66 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029d…7a3ebacked Yes | 2c | 12,426$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,993$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed Yes | 1c | 6,198$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 0c | 5,700$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 197 | 6.6%13 W · 184 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,343$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…89b4backed Yes | 3c | 5,296$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.49 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 5,274$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…9ffdbacked Yes | 3c | 5,016$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.36 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 4,761$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…d665backed Yes | 5c | 4,742$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…b0e2backed Yes | 29c | 4,542$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,519$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 1c | 4,502$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 4,250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c41…d286backed Yes | 1c | 4,083$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe546…28a6backed Yes | 1c | 4,063$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 1c | 3,330$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 80c | 3,311$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,017$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed No | 58c | 3,011$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.44 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…d3c9backed Yes | 24c | 2,903$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.08 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 71c | 2,830$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.72 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…c5c0backed Yes | 4c | 2,797$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 4c | 2,782$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 191 | 19.9%38 W · 153 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked Yes | 44c | 2,758$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.88 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -16.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 11c | 2,647$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.92 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4e…2e3ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,628$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -87%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,524$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 113 | 20.4%23 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…fad7backed Yes | 2c | 2,505$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,456$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed Yes | 24c | 2,163$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.94 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb464…1d98backed Yes | 2c | 2,144$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece4…b400backed Yes | 1c | 2,037$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…f411backed Yes | 5c | 1,828$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,730$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.74 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,635$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 2c | 1,570$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,567$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.14 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 1c | 1,517$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a90…03b5backed Yes | 5c | 1,517$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +262.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…e4dcbacked No | 54c | 1,500$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebf…5bfabacked Yes | 5c | 1,493$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 74c | 1,464$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.66 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 1,448$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fde…0ed8backed Yes | 4c | 1,384$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…657cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,231$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.25 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…bac3backed Yes | 18c | 1,214$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 1c | 1,207$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 3c | 1,170$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 67c | 1,096$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.96 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Yes | 4c | 1,086$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43fb…5f89backed Yes | 25c | 1,022$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…6b12backed Yes | 21c | 1,009$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…fcbfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,005$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 41c | 1,004$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.36 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 3c | 1,003$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x273e…bb08backed Yes | 3c | 987.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…9754backed Yes | 4c | 957.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +522.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 953.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 170 | 3.5%6 W · 164 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f5…8e1ebacked Yes | 19c | 952$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 927.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…ea11backed Yes | 2c | 915.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked No | 65c | 899.98$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.99 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed Yes | 6c | 899.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 874.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 228 | 2.6%6 W · 222 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 38c | 872.73$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.91 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab39…c22fbacked Yes | 2c | 866.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 58c | 865.53$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.52 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 15c | 800$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c72bbacked Yes | 3c | 785.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719f…db30backed No | 56c | 775.28$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 60c | 750$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.37 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…5bf9backed Yes | 2c | 744.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…af99backed Yes | 24c | 725.82$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.42 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…dd6bbacked No | 54c | 704$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 30c | 651.73$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.77 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 25c | 645$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 16c | 638.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf57…3a38backed Yes | 8c | 580.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…8f64backed Yes | 12c | 567.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 64c | 547.6$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.72 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…10dcbacked Yes | 18c | 540.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad9…7e66backed Yes | 8c | 533.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…97c9backed Yes | 19c | 527.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…728cbacked Yes | 25c | 517.75$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.94 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…bf9fbacked Yes | 4c | 510.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 77c | 500.02$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | -17.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 6c | 488.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 16c | 479.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 37c | 477.43$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.94 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…5fbdbacked Yes | 3c | 474.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed No | 62c | 461.42$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.37 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?this page
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?No won
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.