TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf19b…bf9f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT5149%25 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dana White's Contender Series: Carlos Petruzzella vs. Nick Galanti (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Petruzzella · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$29.12
UFC Fight Night: Serghei Spivac vs. Vitor Petrino (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mason Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Chris Padilla vs. Nasrat Haqparast (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Chris Padilla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Gauge Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Wes Schultz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jalin Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.69
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.08
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Damian Rzepecki win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$24.18
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Damian Pinas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
UFC 329: Farid Basharat vs. John Garza (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)backed John Garza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Abus Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Kaan Ofli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.65
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.82
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-50.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+186.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$97.65
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.