TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Illinois State Redbirds vs. Auburn Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Auburn Tigersof Illinois State Redbirds, Auburn Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Auburn Tigers78c10,362$8,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.521,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Illinois State Redbirds11c5,304$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.474,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Illinois State Redbirds22c5,136$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.895,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Illinois State Redbirds22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66074051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Illinois State Redbirds14c2,305$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.0749345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Illinois State Redbirds11c1,573$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.0512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Illinois State Redbirds14c1,410$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.381,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Illinois State Redbirds21c1,374$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.741,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Auburn Tigers75c1,326$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.665759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Illinois State Redbirds22c883.62$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.415243.4%66 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Illinois State Redbirds17c866.29$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Illinois State Redbirds11c860.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.665048%24 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Illinois State Redbirds22c851.24$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.752,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab5…ff12backed Illinois State Redbirds23c847.86$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.768130.9%25 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Illinois State Redbirds25c674.37$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.592,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Auburn Tigers79c546.5$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.212,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Illinois State Redbirds23c532.17$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.41,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Illinois State Redbirds26c532.1$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.461,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Illinois State Redbirds11c531.04$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4119147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Illinois State Redbirds22c511.46$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.872737%10 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Illinois State Redbirds4c451.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3518548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Illinois State Redbirds18c397.95$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1846246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Auburn Tigers77c354.78$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.55,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaad5…ac2ebacked Illinois State Redbirds22c352.72$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.249745.4%44 W · 53 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Illinois State Redbirds23c345.66$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.647451.4%38 W · 36 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Auburn Tigers74c340.92$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6440755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Illinois State Redbirds24c293.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.363,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Illinois State Redbirds28c281.91$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.071346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Auburn Tigers75c262.66$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.67944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Auburn Tigers78c257.1$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3625254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Illinois State Redbirds12c239.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.081,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd12…a7b8backed Illinois State Redbirds25c231.29$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8218644.6%83 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5788…fb06backed Illinois State Redbirds23c206.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.69560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Auburn Tigers73c205$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.413043.8%57 W · 73 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Illinois State Redbirds27c200.62$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.951,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ed…ce26backed Illinois State Redbirds24c200.02$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.073253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…8eadbacked Auburn Tigers77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Illinois State Redbirds26c149.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9924432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Auburn Tigers75c145.36$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.341450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6477…4243backed Illinois State Redbirds24c139.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.41315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd4…d78bbacked Illinois State Redbirds27c135.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.51020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4859…b08ebacked Auburn Tigers73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.392751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Auburn Tigers75c132.55$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.141050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Auburn Tigers77c129.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.941554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Auburn Tigers74c128.18$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.928549.4%42 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Illinois State Redbirds27c125.68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.281040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4693…bf61backed Illinois State Redbirds15c124.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.97540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Illinois State Redbirds23c123.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.621526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-47.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee3e…4116backed Illinois State Redbirds10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Illinois State Redbirds19c114.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…90a8backed Illinois State Redbirds22c108.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.821546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Illinois State Redbirds28c105.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4725438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Illinois State Redbirds28c102.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Auburn Tigers78c101.47$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3230152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Auburn Tigers77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Illinois State Redbirds36c99.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.173250%16 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5000…7d49backed Illinois State Redbirds23c97.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Auburn Tigers77c85.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.023441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf770…f4bdbacked Auburn Tigers73c80.86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.83988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35bc…df4abacked Illinois State Redbirds20c78.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Illinois State Redbirds25c77.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.572751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Illinois State Redbirds27c74.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.242,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Auburn Tigers77c73.19$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5911456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Auburn Tigers77c73.19$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.597146.5%33 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Illinois State Redbirds23c70.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.262142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Illinois State Redbirds16c70.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.881,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Auburn Tigers77c69.81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.746251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Auburn Tigers77c69.81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.746459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb97…1d51backed Auburn Tigers74c66.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.291861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Illinois State Redbirds28c65.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.212650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Auburn Tigers72c58.29$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.328641.9%36 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Auburn Tigers80c56$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbc8…0e4abacked Auburn Tigers77c54.05$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7efb…68a1backed Illinois State Redbirds28c51.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c92…5567backed Auburn Tigers78c50.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19b…bf9fbacked Auburn Tigers78c50.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Illinois State Redbirds26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6241…6797backed Illinois State Redbirds47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-72.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Auburn Tigers53c49.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.153855.3%21 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+41.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Auburn Tigers74c42.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.012875%21 W · 7 L+6.2wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xef65…f32fbacked Auburn Tigers73c40.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.92666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x062d…b00cbacked Auburn Tigers74c40.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Auburn Tigers72c39.76$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Illinois State Redbirds28c38.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.721931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Auburn Tigers74c38.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.922462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb812…076ebacked Auburn Tigers78c37.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58db…6901backed Auburn Tigers78c37.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.35785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+55.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Auburn Tigers74c33.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.653447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48d5…59e2backed Auburn Tigers77c32.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.581471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb49…21b1backed Auburn Tigers75c32.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.161369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+42%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Auburn Tigers61c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+162.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae06…727fbacked Auburn Tigers75c26.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Auburn Tigers74c23.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.141776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+33.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Auburn Tigers74c20.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.337749.4%38 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11dc…fac5backed Auburn Tigers73c19.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.31683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad51…d76dbacked Auburn Tigers78c18.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Auburn Tigers75c17.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.41741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.