TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x11dc…fac5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT6073.3%44 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$12.65
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$5.46
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.94
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.55
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33%+$24.47
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.48
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$10.84
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.81
Nets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$10.07
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$14.83
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$12.02
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.43
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.43
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.43
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.43
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.25
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$15.88
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$13.95
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.96
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$15.53
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$14.25
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.36
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+246.8%+$42.7
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 48-49°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+301%+$60.05
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 50-51°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.03
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 36°F or higher on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+534.9%+$67.4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.19
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+240.1%+$56.48
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$44.16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+130.6%+$14.46
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+180.4%+$77.2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.57
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$22.36
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Panthers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$7.11
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick75cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.