TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,569,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,569,367 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 472 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07bd…e993backed Yes66c915,827$604,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311,470.41475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No34c150,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,0006347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No34c106,355$36,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,160.711346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No34c105,290$35,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,664.6333148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No34c100,320$34,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,108.82045%9 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No34c99,846$33,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,947.766437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No34c87,981$29,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,913.694757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No34c80,000$27,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,2001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No34c60,963$20,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,727.385738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes67c51,709$34,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,299.7448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes66c45,654$30,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,522.3121548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes67c41,810$27,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,974.479137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No34c38,882$13,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,230.1298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes66c32,440$21,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,0557160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No34c31,717$10,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,701.768941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No32c31,075$9,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,968.392,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed No34c30,400$10,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,33610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No34c25,000$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5003839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No34c23,750$8,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,074.872650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No34c22,741$7,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,732.071741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No37c20,897$7,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,660.2196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No34c19,492$6,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,627.3216045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No33c15,789$5,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,204.476033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes64c15,225$9,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,546.987656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8d3…0e0fbacked No34c15,153$5,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,151.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No34c14,249$4,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,844.696346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked No36c13,777$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,959.684070%28 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed No32c11,911$3,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,770.7920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8e4…967bbacked Yes66c10,222$6,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,475.52955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No34c9,621$3,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,271.115431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No34c8,529$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.861850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No42c8,174$3,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.074658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No24c7,384$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.184228.6%12 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes66c6,548$4,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No34c6,285$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.91450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc807…8038backed Yes58c5,983$3,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed No34c5,555$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes56c5,468$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,414.331361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes62c5,128$3,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.656442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No34c4,514$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes66c4,510$2,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.3210451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No34c4,410$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.46659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No34c4,111$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.84955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No34c3,876$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.843345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d3…22d1backed No34c3,030$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.311942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec9…02f6backed No34c2,976$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2901…99f3backed Yes67c2,962$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No34c2,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85037250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No34c2,441$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.7568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes65c2,346$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.9734643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No35c2,232$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.232240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No34c2,116$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.9540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.981643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.973125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.0wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed No42c1,927$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No26c1,926$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.522142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes53c1,870$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.061154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes66c1,804$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.331485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes52c1,773$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.965655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes67c1,719$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.3933951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No34c1,647$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.989652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes66c1,598$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.313250%16 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No33c1,578$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.866940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab0…ddd0backed Yes65c1,526$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Yes66c1,503$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.111566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No35c1,491$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.2311136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No40c1,487$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.962857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Yes67c1,480$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.61376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+28.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No34c1,295$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.3612049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Yes66c1,278$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.441163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed No35c1,209$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.15955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No34c1,131$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.562450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes65c1,131$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.7521650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes67c1,128$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.843754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No39c1,114$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.887763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No4c1,039$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.464339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No34c1,012$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.0822237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yes65c996.07$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.63785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No34c984.02$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.211150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes62c956.28$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.172487.5%21 W · 3 L+6.4wins+0.27per pick61cpaid+46.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1a16…1050backed Yes52c953.14$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.511850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes76c950$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22831738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes58c854.72$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.988033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes64c832.69$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.653571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No49c828.69$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.061070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes62c799.8$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.921127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes63c787.18$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Yes65c763.11$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.091353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes66c753.9$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.32683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+101.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0004…80c7backed Yes66c749.42$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-49.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No34c731.83$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.8214249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c95…8a0bbacked Yes62c714.66$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.57650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No34c698.02$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.335064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No23c697.46$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.116429.7%19 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No34c694.5$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.137558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes66c694$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.946047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes65c686.8$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.3812950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes66c660.77$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.664445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed No35c637.22$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.