Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb326b54cd64db7c3b62d4f45d14e6b93d0148bf1c7d10a0816164aded29a44f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,972 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 32,319$7,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,260.82 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 19,361$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.54 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 23c | 14,858$3,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.32 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 78c | 11,808$9,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.86 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 77c | 11,397$8,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked No | 78c | 9,145$7,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 5,842$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.84 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 13c | 5,746$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.03 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 77c | 4,777$3,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.64 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 77c | 3,186$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 78c | 3,097$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.4 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Yes | 12c | 1,990$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e941backed No | 77c | 1,810$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 22c | 1,557$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.58 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4af1backed No | 77c | 1,060$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 22c | 1,004$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.87 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 13c | 766.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 13c | 536.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 10c | 502.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 77c | 490.45$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 78c | 437.36$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.22 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 4c | 399.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 23c | 394.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed No | 77c | 299.87$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…7acabacked Yes | 13c | 298.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 39c | 254.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked No | 77c | 218.64$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…df85backed Yes | 23c | 216.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d21…ca6dbacked Yes | 24c | 206.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 23c | 199.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 13c | 191.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 22c | 182.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 23c | 175.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 23c | 174$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Yes | 24c | 170.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 62c | 159.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 22c | 134.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…9827backed Yes | 34c | 134.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 120.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 23c | 118.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…80c7backed Yes | 26c | 114.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 22c | 113.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 23c | 113.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 77c | 108.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x422f…da1abacked Yes | 12c | 107.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 23c | 99.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cec…a0abbacked Yes | 23c | 99.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 22c | 96.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 83.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 75c | 81.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…a696backed Yes | 24c | 75.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 78c | 66.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Yes | 22c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 69cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 23c | 54.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…dd0dbacked Yes | 24c | 49.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 77c | 48.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 22c | 46.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 65c | 45.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…467ebacked No | 78c | 44.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 76c | 44.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 77c | 35.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b93…1290backed No | 78c | 29.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 24.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 78c | 19.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 77c | 19.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 78c | 12.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma vs. US Lecce end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.