TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b93…1290

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 60 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs bankaPEPSI (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #3 Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Infinite (BO1) - DraculaN Group Dbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.42
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Bbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$30.84
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29%+$63.68
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.38
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Monte (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$29.82
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Cbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+134.5%+$16.31
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Nexus (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Abacked Nexus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.23
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Tricked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Bbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$50.14
Counter-Strike: STATE vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.26
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$32.04
Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs BMZ (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsbacked Morningstar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.88
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Dbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.02
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$72.75
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs MASONIC (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.65
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Abacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.51
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$73.62
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs FriendlyCampers (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+68.6%+$52.17
Counter-Strike: Omega vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagebacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$62.69
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+108.7%+$67.81
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Sinners (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.62
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$9.46
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagebacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+80.6%+$15.17
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.36
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.58
Twins vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$59.91
Diamondbacks vs. Giantsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$34.99
Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.9
Padres vs. Twinsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$27.29
Orioles vs. Giantsbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$27.12
Tigers vs. Royalsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.94
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$26.73
Rays vs. Nationalsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20.79
Brewers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.8
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.34
Pirates vs. Rockiesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.74
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+95.1%+$104.44
Tigers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.3
Yankees vs. Marlinsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.24
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$51.81
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.74
Dodgers vs. Raysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.15
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.07
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.17
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.87
Will Colombia vs. France end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.05
Will Armenia win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$108.53
Will Belarus win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.35
Lithuania vs. Georgia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$109.97
Will Scotland win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$105.65
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+74.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$115.39
Kings vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$112.84
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$113.53
Spread: Heat (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.01
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$69.82
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.55
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$29.43
All 7 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$33.75
LoL: Solary vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$31.6
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Colossal Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 3backed Colossal Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.75
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs FN Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Roundbacked Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.76
LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Roundbacked WLGaming Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.9
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.48
LoL: Orzeł Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffsbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.03
All 7 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.46per pick55cpaid+96%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+64%+$543.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$95.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.