TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Lynxof Team Lynx, VP.Prodigy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,631 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e8c…65ddbacked VP.Prodigy50c3,052$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.9534544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Team Lynx52c1,350$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.816050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2cc…a633backed Team Lynx65c900$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8659…3292backed VP.Prodigy35c900$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed VP.Prodigy44c887.9$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.6871454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Lynx63c834.16$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.4786949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x026d…47edbacked VP.Prodigy10c699.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick23cpaid-80.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx56c555.02$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.691,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed VP.Prodigy42c535.72$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22610949.5%54 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Team Lynx38c492.19$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.8312156.2%68 W · 53 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed VP.Prodigy40c469.56$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5441050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Lynx67c443.37$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0251751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Team Lynx61c421.97$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.269946.5%46 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked VP.Prodigy43c412.6$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4253844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked VP.Prodigy37c375.16$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1923653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed VP.Prodigy30c346.49$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9545061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked VP.Prodigy38c311.85$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.23528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a8f…6353backed VP.Prodigy7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Lynx51c273.11$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3636054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Team Lynx36c262.95$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.131835.8%114 W · 204 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed VP.Prodigy39c233.2$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9414849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Team Lynx62c230$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked VP.Prodigy41c215.29$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.532,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Team Lynx62c201.61$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.611172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Lynx36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12813657.4%78 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Team Lynx62c188.74$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3518954%102 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ed…5016backed Team Lynx58c188.38$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed VP.Prodigy24c180$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4453634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Team Lynx63c174.6$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked VP.Prodigy39c173$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4760542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3090…b769backed VP.Prodigy29c171.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.93728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Team Lynx61c170$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.31040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Team Lynx61c168.56$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3422945.9%105 W · 124 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked VP.Prodigy37c167.8$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3237223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Team Lynx62c165.92$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.055648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x494c…8923backed Team Lynx58c164.5$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.52060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Team Lynx62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.297657.9%44 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Lynx66c150.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6736654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Lynx52c143.12$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.981,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb835…2e51backed Team Lynx62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.031050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb1…4ed2backed Team Lynx61c129$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.31850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx47c124.57$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.252,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed VP.Prodigy28c123.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.381533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Team Lynx62c122.56$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.564450%22 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed VP.Prodigy42c120.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4578516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Team Lynx62c119.72$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7921253.8%114 W · 98 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Team Lynx62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3814547.6%69 W · 76 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Team Lynx58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6412568%85 W · 40 L+12.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed VP.Prodigy27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.554753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d68…21c2backed Team Lynx61c83.45$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.931163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed VP.Prodigy44c78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3233541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed VP.Prodigy39c77.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7851140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Team Lynx61c69.6$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.145565.5%36 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed Team Lynx62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.524854.2%26 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed VP.Prodigy46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.644645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed VP.Prodigy20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223529.4%69 W · 166 L-21.5wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe00d…4251backed VP.Prodigy54c55.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302142.9%9 W · 12 L-4.9wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-39.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked VP.Prodigy33c55.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3756243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VP.Prodigy42c55.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.312,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Team Lynx60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2097142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked VP.Prodigy39c46.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed VP.Prodigy44c45.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked VP.Prodigy49c41.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.269650%48 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Lynx79c39.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5266662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf218…7bbabacked Team Lynx52c38.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Team Lynx51c38.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.566145.9%28 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed VP.Prodigy39c37.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.455928.8%17 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d66…aa07backed Team Lynx59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.98754%47 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ecf…af11backed Team Lynx54c32.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1b4…702abacked VP.Prodigy46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e0f…9ccebacked Team Lynx45c30.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed VP.Prodigy40c26.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6547748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked Team Lynx63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.254645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked Team Lynx61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6514762.6%92 W · 55 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b93…1290backed Team Lynx62c21.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.315100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Team Lynx61c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.198056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa60…49c2backed Team Lynx58c20.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34c5…db89backed Team Lynx62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.612759.8%76 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde6e…7fa3backed Team Lynx57c19.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.34757.4%27 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbda…8bd5backed Team Lynx61c18.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2413259.8%79 W · 53 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Team Lynx69c15.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6114142.6%60 W · 81 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.