TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Belarus win on 2026-03-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,125 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c5,380$3,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,766.271,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No70c4,642$3,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,263.5810558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Yes30c4,216$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,947.3310234.3%35 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No10c3,836$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.6646536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed No5c2,881$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.09175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick20cpaid-92.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c2,105$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.7217338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes61c1,628$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.775356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c1,627$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.861,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb661…6c08backed Yes76c1,509$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No14c1,332$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1545039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No5c1,296$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7218641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0230431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No30c1,200$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.552,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes58c1,114$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.527954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No37c1,102$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.2429343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No38c1,055$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013745.9%17 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7004337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No21c999.86$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.682540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No7c994.19$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.454,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No10c980.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9222656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes57c935.14$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.6225954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c811.56$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.994,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe13d…3abbbacked Yes31c751.72$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.721656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes31c651.47$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.4817148.5%83 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…0cccbacked Yes62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.164045%18 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed No70c507.27$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.0929154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9811…5326backed Yes66c486$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.241145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No44c454.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.811520%23 W · 92 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No37c426.82$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9616341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b46…8438backed Yes77c410.88$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.189454.3%51 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes63c397.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.142339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes63c367.15$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1523736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c365.1$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.963,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c351.48$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.233,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes39c338.83$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.492,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed Yes31c322.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.841118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes64c305.14$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0676048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No15c304.34$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9723751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes59c300.64$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.796743.3%29 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No74c299.98$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9810550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes66c289.7$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7986455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes34c285.21$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2713653.7%73 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed No38c264.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f1…1a7ebacked Yes66c260.15$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…a955backed No71c257.8$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0450%0 W · 5 L-3.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Yes61c243.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.910451.9%54 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed No37c241.68$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8915140.4%61 W · 90 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No5c228.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.856521.5%14 W · 51 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed No7c226.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.941250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No70c219.09$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9218452.7%97 W · 87 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14035942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14410138.6%39 W · 62 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes71c187.9$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8511167.6%75 W · 36 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No39c184.79$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3145947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No69c176.54$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0621953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No70c168$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8843653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes30c167.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.975935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9327327.5%75 W · 198 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Yes63c159.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.933540%14 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1847…d94abacked Yes64c157.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.351850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes52c156$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.925040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d6…7f42backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b93…1290backed No71c152.61$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.35966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes59c151.31$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.192,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes39c151.2$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2325865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x880d…db9fbacked Yes66c150.4$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f75…7233backed Yes29c144.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick22cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e81…e3b0backed No71c144.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No69c143.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2236850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No71c143.45$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6510863.9%69 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed No41c140.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.157138%27 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes29c139$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6918628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No69c138.3$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4311658.6%68 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes45c135.6$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5828964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed No8c134.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.775050%25 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6353…777fbacked Yes63c133.89$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes26c129.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.77236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c127.82$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7537144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No40c125.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502755.6%15 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+38.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No71c125$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.51,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No70c119.97$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9890840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No69c118.8$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9711060%66 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No70c118.27$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.791,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e92…1910backed Yes63c116.95$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.671225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No70c116$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1616755.1%92 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes60c114.95$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9822836.4%83 W · 145 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes44c110$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5cf…e47fbacked Yes65c107.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.695232.7%17 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Yes30c105.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.023831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed No55c102.87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.581369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67f1…53f1backed Yes74c101.43$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.034348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0004…80c7backed Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe96…4a6dbacked No72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722564%16 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.420560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes62c98.27$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0228754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed8…2b67backed Yes63c98.26$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa360…cc8ebacked Yes63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.242245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No41c94.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8616116.8%27 W · 134 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes56c89.62$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.996238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.241450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.