Fifa International · resolved market
Will Armenia win on 2026-03-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ce7e2f4a76b687b26dcbb8adde14ae9712e13d694d1f4a42fed494bce829c8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 11c | 8,319$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.2 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 44c | 7,880$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.84 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 56c | 6,515$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.59 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 6,274$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.6 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 44c | 4,614$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 14c | 3,192$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.89 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 44c | 2,788$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.76 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 57c | 1,642$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.77 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 1,409$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.91 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 14c | 1,398$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 58c | 1,036$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.57 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 23c | 961.78$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.21 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Yes | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880f…8a04backed No | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 56c | 860$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.4 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 57c | 821.69$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.04 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 13c | 770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…d156backed No | 56c | 739.98$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.59 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb29e…d14fbacked Yes | 43c | 719.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.59 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 14c | 714.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa0…c519backed Yes | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes | 13c | 699.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…cb58backed No | 56c | 679.93$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 44c | 679$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.76 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 599.77$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes | 14c | 577.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…3100backed Yes | 5c | 569.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 44c | 538.8$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.07 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 68c | 500$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.11 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…b193backed Yes | 11c | 402.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 17c | 362$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 56c | 359.4$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.71 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Yes | 10c | 347$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 343.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed No | 63c | 328.41$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.87 | 304 | 63.5%193 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fa…cce6backed Yes | 20c | 322.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 61c | 263.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.63 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c588backed Yes | 39c | 256.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b93…1290backed No | 57c | 252.4$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 13c | 247.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | +15.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 44c | 227.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 206.88$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 17c | 206.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 24c | 178$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…2ed6backed Yes | 11c | 168.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 45c | 166.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 161.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 56c | 159.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 20c | 154$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 57c | 152.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 145$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 56c | 143.89$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 57c | 143.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Yes | 43c | 140.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 136.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 136.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed No | 57c | 133.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…5d9abacked Yes | 19c | 130.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…830dbacked Yes | 21c | 129.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 9c | 122.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Yes | 32c | 120.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d03…1f0abacked Yes | 13c | 117.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6977…e8d1backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 36c | 110.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…7379backed No | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…db2ebacked Yes | 25c | 109.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c40…44a1backed Yes | 28c | 108.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…183ebacked Yes | 14c | 100.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bc…1523backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 25c | 98.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0363…d67abacked Yes | 25c | 85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 57c | 83.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 82.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…b560backed Yes | 14c | 81.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 43c | 81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 44c | 71.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Yes | 44c | 68.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 44c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 54c | 66.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 28c | 66.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5691…b50dbacked Yes | 44c | 63.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 56c | 59.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…625bbacked Yes | 44c | 57.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 73c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 50.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e92…1910backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Armenia win on 2026-03-29?this page
- Will Armenia vs. Belarus end in a draw?No won
- Will Belarus win on 2026-03-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.