TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Armenia vs. Belarus end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,849 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No74c3,142$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.5176048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes15c2,227$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.1246536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c1,783$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.864,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No72c1,383$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.3212554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes28c1,249$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.8511520%23 W · 92 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c999.01$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.411,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Yes27c936.11$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7510330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6b7…d2e3backed Yes28c739.79$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.141643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes8c725.1$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.914,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes24c606.25$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.816341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes8c543.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c497.18$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8235942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No71c490.27$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0345039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No76c488.84$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6986455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde18…e863backed Yes23c432.19$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes13c412.81$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6623738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes25c400.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x880d…db9fbacked Yes29c389.01$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes27c366$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes29c346.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006535.4%23 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…f90dbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No71c337.53$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.882,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes3c305.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick20cpaid-92.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes33c303.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No80c279$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.136355.6%35 W · 28 L+8.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+40.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes26c266.48$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.222339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes27c243.93$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2388838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes21c227$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.96314.3%9 W · 54 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-67%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes27c227$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.32729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes25c204.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5111221.4%24 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No74c203.96$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1845947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b46…8438backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509454.3%51 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe96…4a6dbacked No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522564%16 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes7c191.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.166521.5%14 W · 51 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes27c183$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.443240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c174.83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.951,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes31c157$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9531644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes28c155$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.448140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No79c153.81$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3423751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c149.92$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.328754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked No76c131.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.72875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…3100backed Yes8c127.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes24c126.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1616116.8%27 W · 134 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c126.15$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.321,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No72c108.5$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.383565.7%23 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011631.9%37 W · 79 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No76c103$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8215859.5%94 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No76c102.34$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4422656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Yes29c102$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5810234.3%35 W · 67 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes30c100.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027327.5%75 W · 198 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2915945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0615662.8%98 W · 58 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0004…80c7backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.882045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No72c99.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2822650.9%115 W · 111 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No72c99.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9990840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd45…f2aabacked No75c98.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.092339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes28c92.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-47.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c90.78$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9337144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes24c85.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.564930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed No78c81.45$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Yes24c71.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4223355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa8a…9803backed Yes26c69.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…b990backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No71c68.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5210863.9%69 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c40…44a1backed Yes26c65.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178047.5%38 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No72c63.18$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.441,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked No73c61.64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.642972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…a646backed No76c57.13$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e92…1910backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.71225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110436.5%38 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ed8…2b67backed No77c45.59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes28c40.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.371,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.431147.9%149 W · 162 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No74c37.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5327745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb036…9a07backed No76c36.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick75cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes28c36.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.183633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed No73c33.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.03837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked No70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.52657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed No78c24.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.517443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19a8…b852backed No74c24.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.417338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ca…e04dbacked No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.85972.9%43 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No75c17.89$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.413253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked No76c15.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.699666.7%64 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…7379backed No72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfedc…61d1backed No71c14.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.319855.1%54 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.