TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe35b…d8d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 53 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$928.95
Will Cádiz CF vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.13
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$604.2
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.19
CD Castellón vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.06
CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$742.42
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$165.29
Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)backed SD Eibar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.73
UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+121.8%+$257.7
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$166.48
Will Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.83
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$61.47
SD Huesca vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.17
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,107.37
CD Mirandés vs. Albacete Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$592.22
Will UD Almería win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$561.77
Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)backed UD Almería · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$681.27
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$378
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.69
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.04
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$65.76
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.19
France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$569
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.45
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$43.05
Will Austria win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$890Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$1,076.14
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.76
Czechia vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$1,258.06
Will Norway vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$1,402.67
Norway vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.21
Will Armenia vs. Belarus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$325.82
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$206.87
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$84.83
Scotland vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.2
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+152.6%+$105.91
Will Norway win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$324
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.82
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.14
Will Leicester City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$893.71
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$772
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$458.95
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$229.32
Oxford United FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$235.91
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.68
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.33
Swansea City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.84
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$362.25
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$231.54
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.11
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$219.61
Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.3
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
1. FC Magdeburg vs. VfL Bochum: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$420.65
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SV Darmstadt 98: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$380.79
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+234.1%+$2,094.93
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SC Paderborn 07 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+300.2%+$1,173.94
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$74.96
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.78
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.19
Will Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.88
Vitória SC vs. CD Tondela: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$998.4
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+119.6%+$499.1
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.58
Will NEC vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+245.5%+$453.71
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$390.12
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$166
Will Viking FK win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.06
Will Hamarkameratene vs. Viking FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$257
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.12
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$475
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$181.44
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.84
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+224.8%+$467.26
Will FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.34
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$79.14
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$61.52
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.73
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
SC Freiburg vs. KRC Genk: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$66.51
SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+169.9%+$299
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$436.78
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.43
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.51
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.43
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$52.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.35
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.