TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Michael Olise: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x336b…1233backed No55c30,036$16,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,59619252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02aa…f99bbacked Yes45c28,386$12,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,862.171850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.9446464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Yes46c10,270$4,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,678.166758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed No55c9,117$5,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,101.96654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Yes45c7,885$3,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,548.265349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No54c7,655$4,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,494.9734357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed No55c5,555$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.759161.5%56 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes44c5,285$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,325.3114232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes44c4,617$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.1612616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Yes46c4,518$2,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.815729.8%17 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes46c4,250$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95510734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No54c3,518$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.8270750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf511…bfe4backed No55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.9314579.3%115 W · 30 L+17.0wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+13.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No56c2,718$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.092,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a8…be88backed Yes11c2,431$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2654353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3cb…2526backed Yes50c2,006$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No54c1,768$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.722,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes46c1,526$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70214620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe798…3ef9backed Yes1c1,476$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104226.2%11 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No55c1,465$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.7440343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes44c1,250$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No55c1,201$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.7237959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No58c1,169$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.524057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No61c1,064$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.1436250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes47c1,028$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.193243.8%14 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes39c900$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa622…4448backed Yes47c778.72$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36611325.7%29 W · 84 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed No55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3154261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Yes45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No57c660.75$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.92,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x556a…5f0fbacked Yes46c550$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2adb…da11backed Yes47c529.28$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.091729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22528337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No56c499.9$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9628873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No55c457.94$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.72,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc187…775fbacked No58c454.53$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.531353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes44c453.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009530.5%29 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb413…adc3backed Yes47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…d6f5backed Yes46c422.85$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes49c408.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007058.6%41 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Yes46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1848348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Yes45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012429%36 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes50c333.33$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3913268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No65c310.38$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.282,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed No54c306.18$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7840240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13514116.3%23 W · 118 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6969…73c9backed Yes47c295.74$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1392369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes26c295.45$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9424635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6829…456bbacked Yes40c294.9$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1193250%16 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59a…aaafbacked Yes46c291.3$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1343056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No53c268$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.961,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9629…ee15backed Yes39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.59446.8%44 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Yes47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.510245.1%46 W · 56 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11032044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes45c245.95$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.918,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5026…dde1backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007938%30 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011566.1%76 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030928.8%89 W · 220 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbf…2e5ebacked Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No68c210.38$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0231171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeacb…4a8ebacked Yes46c208.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes46c201.04$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4812241%50 W · 72 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No58c200.88$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8137971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d69…7540backed Yes38c200.09$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3615226.3%40 W · 112 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5022623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8337…29b6backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804973.5%36 W · 13 L+7.5wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+20.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes29c199.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5714427.8%40 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Yes46c197.3$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9111338.9%44 W · 69 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Yes41c196.1$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807044.3%31 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82fd…4533backed Yes46c179.33$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.493345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b8…d1fbbacked Yes28c177.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504650%23 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33cf…1882backed Yes45c173.96$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed No59c169.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.082356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes46c167.39$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7725532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea0a…4ed2backed Yes46c152.28$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked No56c151.33$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.339858.2%57 W · 41 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b4e…fb99backed Yes47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.53745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccba…4e3cbacked Yes46c132.2$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.812222.7%5 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e76…a15fbacked Yes47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6070%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes32c122.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.622,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x101d…cad2backed Yes38c118.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7911224.1%27 W · 85 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No77c118$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.551,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes43c116.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029138.5%112 W · 179 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc45…14bcbacked Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013441.8%56 W · 78 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021227.8%59 W · 153 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6189…8f69backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506738.8%26 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012143.8%53 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae82…1499backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd0b…cf8bbacked Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501717.6%3 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-70.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xac5a…5f11backed Yes45c108.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.974143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013148.1%63 W · 68 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7780…c0ddbacked Yes44c107$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.081163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 47 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.