Fifa International · resolved market
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1791b203f7413c390cefdb7991b4f87b31816f9c5d8af29adce2cd6ca9e5435
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Yes | 31c | 5,850$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.59 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 69c | 4,486$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.25 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No | 69c | 1,290$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 68c | 1,221$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.39 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 30c | 840$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.73 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 18c | 769.34$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.52 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 78c | 676.85$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.96 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 21c | 661.2$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…9040backed Yes | 24c | 404.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked No | 71c | 400.65$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.35 | 272 | 42.3%115 W · 157 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…a001backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 30c | 396$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 76c | 370.7$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Yes | 30c | 238.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 80c | 195$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 31c | 191$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked No | 71c | 190$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6969…73c9backed Yes | 24c | 153$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed No | 69c | 149.39$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed No | 70c | 143.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c9…3c2dbacked Yes | 24c | 141.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…caabbacked No | 71c | 140.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fab…3cabbacked Yes | 31c | 136.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…cf8bbacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Yes | 22c | 117.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Yes | 22c | 117.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 69c | 100.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d6…2109backed Yes | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 76c | 92.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…0411backed Yes | 31c | 82.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 30c | 82.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Yes | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 462 | 47.6%220 W · 242 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes | 23c | 69.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 70c | 64.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4793…a932backed No | 70c | 64.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 29c | 63.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 33c | 47.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…02eabacked No | 71c | 36.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…bd16backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…3501backed No | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 27.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…8086backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…23b3backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 70c | 19.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 67c | 18.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bc…fdf5backed No | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 47 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsthis page
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ assistsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shotsYes won
- Adrien Rabiot: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 3+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 3+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsYes won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsYes won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ assistsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ shotsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 3+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Warren Zaïre-Emery: 3+ goalsNo won
- Warren Zaïre-Emery: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.