TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$306,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$330,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 487 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa080…234fbacked No65c70,957$46,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,28015950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Yes35c29,920$10,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,547.718047.5%38 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No66c29,562$19,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,481.7446464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes36c13,889$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,888.8919644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No65c13,873$8,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,981.4670750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8473…8f23backed Yes38c11,267$4,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,968.4210937.6%41 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Yes36c10,698$3,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,853.8513454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes34c10,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6002,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No64c8,343$5,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,336.132765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No65c8,068$5,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,269.352,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No68c8,000$5,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,439.8519252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No62c7,044$4,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,367.1774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc087…dbbabacked Yes32c6,250$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2507541.3%31 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed No65c5,442$3,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,536.986654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes36c5,250$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,36010734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed Yes2c5,168$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,064.595119.6%10 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes65c5,098$3,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.074,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No69c5,091$3,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,488.5214860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes37c4,791$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,034.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Yes37c4,742$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,990.52763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No42c4,022$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.982,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed No65c3,632$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,36127345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes35c3,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,27530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes35c3,321$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.67034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes32c3,125$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12527433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe719…b74dbacked Yes73c2,751$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.093246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes31c2,578$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.387241.7%30 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No53c2,422$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.312,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes44c2,285$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.4518047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No65c2,068$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.1218848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes33c1,828$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.346033.3%20 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No2c1,717$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7542336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes34c1,595$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.876311.1%7 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Yes36c1,528$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.7813736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes40c1,518$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.947259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Yes32c1,250$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.1713721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfde…fa1bbacked Yes9c1,172$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.642313%3 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e0…ffbebacked No67c1,111$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.71425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes33c1,054$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.9536123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa3e8…5289backed Yes38c1,054$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.284955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6d…b276backed Yes34c1,038$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.247832.1%25 W · 53 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes36c1,028$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.787835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes34c999.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9941429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…a481backed Yes34c981.18$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.58520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Yes33c909.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.0916825.6%43 W · 125 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked No33c899.93$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.989555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No53c833.34$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.942,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6969…73c9backed Yes32c826.69$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.152369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked Yes36c814.56$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.324522.2%10 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48cf…9c27backed Yes37c810.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.812437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked No33c809.93$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.3711854.2%64 W · 54 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8569…393dbacked Yes38c771.25$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.321250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes33c769$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.182,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43bb…26dbbacked Yes36c727.09$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.284759.6%28 W · 19 L+10.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+70.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes35c714.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.2937223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Yes37c700$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4413831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf77b…e31dbacked Yes33c681.82$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.821838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bec…ad46backed Yes66c662.26$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8100…53a9backed Yes38c646.46$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.323158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No67c639.96$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.571,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8a8…be88backed Yes40c620.36$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.364353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes48c613.37$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.447058.6%41 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x512a…d537backed Yes38c613.16$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.163844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Yes33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.0614052.1%73 W · 67 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf180…a062backed Yes33c600$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4025263.5%33 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd24b…187dbacked Yes34c600$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3969637.5%36 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0754…4955backed Yes38c592.05$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.382920.7%6 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Yes34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2421443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Yes67c583.18$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.387040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa084…7cabbacked Yes35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.438552.9%45 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06cf…0dbabacked Yes32c565.63$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.63633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes38c559.98$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.3914445.8%66 W · 78 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4636…43d3backed Yes36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.562045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.569530.5%29 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78e1…e49abacked Yes36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.568433.3%28 W · 56 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Yes36c554.63$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.6311338.9%44 W · 69 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b5…280cbacked Yes40c550$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.58135.8%29 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes37c541.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.1317345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e18…f3b1backed Yes38c514.71$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.124339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59a…aaafbacked Yes41c514.45$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.033056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…2af9backed Yes36c510$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.37955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Yes33c509.12$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.118831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4eb…7ba3backed Yes49c507.52$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.856533.8%22 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e9e…208cbacked No66c507.26$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.193943.6%17 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Yes33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3358348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked No62c500$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.715969.5%41 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Yes37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31513948.2%67 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No66c499.97$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.7882348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes41c483.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.471,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes39c479.36$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.2110542.9%45 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd5…feb0backed Yes35c478.79$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2714550.3%73 W · 72 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6807…370bbacked Yes37c448.62$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.631855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bf…0be9backed Yes36c411.79$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.792222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-54.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd050…c915backed Yes35c400$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2606860.3%41 W · 27 L+11.5wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+39.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa661…af49backed No68c399.96$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.975044%22 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x524b…73a2backed Yes35c399.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.542552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x925e…ae34backed Yes36c391.16$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.37837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes47c372.17$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.971,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 47 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.