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Fifa International · resolved market

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assists

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,136 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No69c3,414$2,356 inWon+$1,058.2734357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f90…90ccbacked Yes31c2,581$800 inLost-$8002850%14 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes31c967.74$300 inLost-$30027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cb6…099fbacked No69c799.95$552 inWon+$247.981050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No70c749.98$525 inWon+$224.996162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes30c619$186 inLost-$185.872,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6d…b276backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost-$1007832.1%25 W · 53 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb413…adc3backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost-$1003231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No69c300$207 inWon+$932,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes29c293.24$85 inLost-$85.041,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No70c192$134 inWon+$57.646464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked No71c121$86 inWon+$35.095969.5%41 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes31c103.23$32 inLost-$328127.2%22 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes31c90.32$28 inLost-$2816737.7%63 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4af1…ef8abacked Yes31c83.87$26 inLost-$261533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes31c80.65$25 inLost-$2529138.5%112 W · 179 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa599…9176backed No70c74.98$52 inWon+$22.4915177.5%117 W · 34 L+13.1wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No71c70.42$50 inWon+$20.4210053%53 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Yes31c65.32$20 inLost-$2011535.7%41 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No70c63.33$44 inWon+$193,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Yes31c50$16 inLost-$15.520149.3%99 W · 102 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No70c39.46$28 inWon+$11.871,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No78c25.45$20 inWon+$5.592,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ca…4419backed No67c24.24$16 inWon+$88170.4%57 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed No71c15.49$11 inWon+$4.4918473.4%135 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 47 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.