Fifa International · resolved market
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf9255604942ecf57c614db6058d700164b75d6f286434571744037534b25949
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 66c | 3,551$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.69 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 34c | 945$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.7 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.35 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 71c | 430.24$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.34 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 34c | 323.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.53 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ef…afa1backed Yes | 34c | 294.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.71 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…b276backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7540backed Yes | 25c | 262.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2e…e1f2backed Yes | 30c | 149.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 30c | 145.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.59 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 75c | 116.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 34c | 110$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Yes | 34c | 94.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 92.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…d2a0backed Yes | 23c | 86.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 62.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 30c | 60.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…eec3backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea2…f26dbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…653abacked Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 47 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assiststhis page
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ assistsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shotsYes won
- Adrien Rabiot: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 3+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 3+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsYes won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsYes won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ assistsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ shotsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 3+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Warren Zaïre-Emery: 3+ goalsNo won
- Warren Zaïre-Emery: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.