Fifa International · resolved market
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947c61330193694e6bbe119a4e855f817bd0f0300bad1ff11596cf600948ed18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes | 2c | 6,133$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…aa9bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,031$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…b276backed Yes | 18c | 835.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 13c | 548.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 16c | 252.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb916…f248backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 16c | 130.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ce…5d30backed Yes | 16c | 124.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…b7dabacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa886…9fd2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 47 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goalsthis page
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ assistsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shotsYes won
- Adrien Rabiot: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 3+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 3+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 3+ shotsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 3+ goalsNo won
- Jean-Philippe Mateta: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ goalsNo won
- Maghnes Akliouche: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 1+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marcus Thuram: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsYes won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsYes won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ assistsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 1+ shotsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 3+ goalsNo won
- Rayan Cherki: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Warren Zaïre-Emery: 3+ goalsNo won
- Warren Zaïre-Emery: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.