TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,844

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,690 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes16c31,506$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes10c23,121$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,312.087241.7%30 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes13c6,743$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.8236123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No75c3,666$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.832,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Yes14c3,329$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46624917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes15c2,946$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.458,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e2…a4c4backed Yes14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003658.3%21 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+38%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb68…533dbacked Yes8c2,071$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c0…fe99backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405328.3%15 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes12c1,633$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.372,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b5…280cbacked Yes17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008135.8%29 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No76c1,149$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.722,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c8…1e91backed Yes19c1,064$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017028.6%20 W · 50 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Yes14c1,036$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14516123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4eb…7ba3backed Yes48c1,027$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.696533.8%22 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd35b…4a53backed Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307915.2%12 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes47c960.61$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.1618047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006311.1%7 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes38c800.26$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.410542.9%45 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27b3…3a7cbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x886f…5e20backed Yes12c729.42$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.536033.3%20 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006823.5%16 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd24b…187dbacked Yes14c699.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989637.5%36 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a34…c216backed Yes15c651.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008731%27 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No70c639$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.381,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f9…992abacked Yes11c594.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.743315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-60.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked No56c557.41$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.569555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes13c553.88$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724623.9%11 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+53.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf2…5da0backed Yes14c540.21$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.633036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdef…7f98backed Yes31c516.13$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Yes14c453.86$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5410432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d47…f041backed Yes29c444.93$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.982133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes14c432.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6288838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6c5…d269backed Yes12c374.57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.781915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes26c370$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.22133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No67c364.46$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.694,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4636…43d3backed Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Yes15c340.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015522.6%35 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes26c333.33$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5713268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfd3f…239dbacked Yes32c302.78$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.892951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f2…fa8fbacked Yes32c301.13$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.561346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f4…4bc8backed Yes13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394740.4%19 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Yes14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427828.2%22 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507219.4%14 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccba…4e3cbacked Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502222.7%5 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes17c288.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4925532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe114…cd4fbacked Yes14c259.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.37428.4%21 W · 53 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e34…625dbacked Yes31c258.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807714.3%11 W · 66 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb91…dd87backed Yes14c254.14$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.581145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6985…ad13backed Yes14c253.23$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.442532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb8…3e04backed Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520427.5%56 W · 148 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa33d…0587backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e2…f58abacked Yes14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f74…8741backed Yes14c249.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.953218.8%6 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Yes13c244.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7715321.6%33 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…27ccbacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes29c220.32$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.031,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes14c220.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9811230.4%34 W · 78 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9e…fe9dbacked Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6762…687abacked Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-54.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes15c206.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3149426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4214427.8%40 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe492…d1f8backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x776a…5349backed Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb064…12a0backed Yes15c183.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.569131.9%29 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa88c…aadcbacked Yes10c181.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3802…1a48backed Yes14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511040.9%45 W · 65 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a2…cf4cbacked Yes14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303189.4%30 W · 288 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099e…b3c1backed Yes40c175.36$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010339.8%41 W · 62 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5989…d6bbbacked Yes15c173.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1607…2c65backed Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030928.8%89 W · 220 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1823950.2%120 W · 119 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb907…2c9ebacked Yes19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.55364.2%34 W · 19 L+8.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+32.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes43c145.53$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.416341.1%67 W · 96 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b5…5676backed Yes35c144$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013148.1%63 W · 68 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d69…7540backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015226.3%40 W · 112 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef29…96c1backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e36…0c4abacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207042.9%30 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d4c…cdb1backed Yes14c141.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.774912.2%6 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb93d…62febacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506541.5%27 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c80…e0cdbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203560%21 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes11c128.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.521517.2%37 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8100…53a9backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd50b…2f40backed Yes38c123.18$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.815461.1%33 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Yes16c121.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199237%34 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes10c120.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.122,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Yes35c119.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.718548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 47 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.