TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb91…dd87

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT4012.5%5 W · 35 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-52%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.7
Targu Mures: Luca Castelnuovo vs Franco Agamenonebacked Luca Castelnuovo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Bad Homburg Open: Alexandra Eala vs Elise Mertensbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.18
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.67
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Gustavo Heidebacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Mackenzie McDonald vs Felipe Meligeni Alvesbacked Felipe Meligeni Alves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Michael Mmohbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$165.29
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jan Choinski vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.09
Bad Homburg Open: Venus Williams vs Irina-Camelia Begubacked Venus Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Lukas Neumayer vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Tomas Barriosbacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Liam Broady vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$166.05
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Elias Ymerbacked Elias Ymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$83.34
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Guy Den Ouden vs Yi Zhoubacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Bad Homburg Open: Solana Sierra vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Molcanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$438.7
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vitaliy Sachko vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.44
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Maya Joint vs Emiliana Arangobacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.58
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Austria to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.33
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$54
Cabo Verde leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$49.5
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$142.12
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$51.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.