Fifa International · resolved market
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bdcf0fd010eba1a55a0f3de9be6612fc72038279a734e994ce2e34664a3cfe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,219,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,308,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,219,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 10,439 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d36…0e68backed No | 33c | 2,128,873$702,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702,528.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 68c | 1,279,905$864,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415,901.82 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 67c | 1,088,344$731,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356,964.11 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed No | 32c | 1,039,988$332,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332,796.11 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 33c | 861,118$286,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286,577.08 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 28c | 754,051$213,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213,545.37 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…0f47backed Yes | 68c | 735,293$499,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235,293.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 67c | 642,724$427,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215,281.83 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 624,320$427,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196,526.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 34c | 508,494$170,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,717.86 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 67c | 500,000$335,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,000 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked No | 33c | 499,994$164,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164,998.15 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b1…5143backed Yes | 68c | 441,176$300,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,176.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…f662backed No | 33c | 400,000$132,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,999.95 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +7.8wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 68c | 399,999$272,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,999.82 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 32c | 393,000$126,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,030.47 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 36c | 364,998$129,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129,999.3 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 31c | 325,859$100,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,927.05 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 31c | 296,858$92,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,884.62 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 34c | 237,153$79,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,911.26 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Yes | 68c | 205,882$140,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,882.35 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…1220backed Yes | 69c | 202,141$138,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,602.9 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 67c | 201,828$134,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,588.1 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 68c | 200,791$136,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,097.11 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…c428backed No | 33c | 200,000$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,000 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 34c | 199,999$67,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,499.61 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 32c | 199,997$63,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,999.15 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked No | 18c | 196,925$35,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,104.55 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 33c | 186,620$62,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,024.93 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed No | 34c | 160,650$54,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,621 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132f…453bbacked Yes | 69c | 153,698$105,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,197.62 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 32c | 149,998$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,999.51 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…059dbacked Yes | 67c | 146,342$98,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,292.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 66c | 145,874$95,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,115.58 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 32c | 142,971$46,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,173.11 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217b…c168backed No | 36c | 138,578$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,999.95 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 65c | 137,323$88,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,470.22 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 36c | 135,543$48,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,629.37 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 71c | 128,358$91,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,290.24 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 32c | 126,153$40,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,627.74 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 33c | 125,688$41,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,976.74 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ee…90e6backed No | 33c | 119,497$39,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,883.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 32c | 107,614$34,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,755.72 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 67c | 106,397$71,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,338.58 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc7…6bdebacked No | 33c | 100,010$33,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,003.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked No | 33c | 100,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…bcafbacked Yes | 69c | 100,000$69,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,000 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 66c | 100,000$66,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,000 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 65c | 99,205$64,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,869.71 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Yes | 68c | 87,431$59,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,977.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 32c | 86,914$27,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,696.42 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 68c | 82,805$56,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,309.62 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed No | 35c | 80,867$27,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,936.07 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 29c | 78,460$23,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,067.81 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 30c | 78,358$23,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,765.62 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Yes | 68c | 72,445$49,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,182.47 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +86%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…34a2backed No | 34c | 69,994$23,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,798.12 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 32c | 68,639$21,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,966.18 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 70c | 67,512$47,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,103.79 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…80dfbacked No | 30c | 66,760$20,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,223.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed No | 32c | 66,226$21,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,192.47 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked No | 32c | 65,951$21,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,104.18 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 35c | 61,558$21,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,326.61 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 67c | 60,000$40,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe613…540ebacked No | 32c | 59,998$19,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,199.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes | 68c | 58,824$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,823.53 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…afeabacked Yes | 65c | 58,715$38,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,681.81 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 56,992$21,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,022.26 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 33c | 54,998$18,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,339.48 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 31c | 53,559$16,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,662.12 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 77c | 50,417$38,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,689.48 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 66c | 50,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,000 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Yes | 68c | 50,000$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 70c | 49,719$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,719.16 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed No | 19c | 49,624$9,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,637.45 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 76c | 48,106$36,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,373.59 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 33c | 47,820$15,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,780.72 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 22c | 47,695$10,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,632 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed No | 33c | 45,999$15,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,179.73 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 35c | 45,716$15,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,993.83 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…55e7backed No | 35c | 45,425$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed No | 33c | 45,000$14,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,850 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 35c | 44,464$15,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,691.59 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 35c | 43,684$15,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,316.43 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 30c | 43,550$13,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,095.96 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 32c | 40,595$12,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,962.47 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed No | 32c | 40,354$13,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,029.16 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 67c | 40,001$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000.23 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked No | 32c | 40,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked No | 23c | 40,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,299.98 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed Yes | 67c | 38,776$25,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,796.13 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 34c | 38,509$13,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,123.62 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed No | 32c | 38,091$12,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,189.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 74c | 37,967$28,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,938.97 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Yes | 67c | 37,963$25,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,587.25 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 37,187$12,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,844.57 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…fd11backed Yes | 68c | 35,294$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,294.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 34c | 35,000$11,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,899.97 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a3…3688backed Yes | 68c | 34,175$23,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,935.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 66c | 33,888$22,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,388.75 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?this page
- Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?No won
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.