TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,219,504
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,308,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,219,504 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 10,439 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9d36…0e68backed No33c2,128,873$702,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702,528.171225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes68c1,279,905$864,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415,901.822,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes67c1,088,344$731,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356,964.119142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed No32c1,039,988$332,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332,796.111931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No33c861,118$286,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286,577.0856541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No28c754,051$213,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213,545.374,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6a…0f47backed Yes68c735,293$499,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235,293.761546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes67c642,724$427,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215,281.837433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes69c624,320$427,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196,526.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No34c508,494$170,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170,717.867941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes67c500,000$335,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165,00033538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked No33c499,994$164,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164,998.158932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b1…5143backed Yes68c441,176$300,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,176.321546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed No33c400,000$132,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,999.952774.1%20 W · 7 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick45cpaid+98.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes68c399,999$272,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127,999.8221343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No32c393,000$126,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126,030.4725038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No36c364,998$129,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129,999.314139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No31c325,859$100,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,927.055942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No31c296,858$92,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,884.623,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No34c237,153$79,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,911.2677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Yes68c205,882$140,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,882.354151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Yes69c202,141$138,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,602.94667.4%31 W · 15 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes67c201,828$134,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,588.12,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes68c200,791$136,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,097.1138734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c5…c428backed No33c200,000$66,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,0001513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-75.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No34c199,999$67,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,499.6114349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No32c199,997$63,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,999.156448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No18c196,925$35,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,104.5549441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No33c186,620$62,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,024.9316835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed No34c160,650$54,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,6216546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x132f…453bbacked Yes69c153,698$105,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,197.627135.2%25 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No32c149,998$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,999.5116331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Yes67c146,342$98,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,292.71560%9 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes66c145,874$95,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,115.5879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No32c142,971$46,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,173.111,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x217b…c168backed No36c138,578$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,999.951952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes65c137,323$88,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,470.222,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No36c135,543$48,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,629.372,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes71c128,358$91,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,290.241,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No32c126,153$40,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,627.749943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No33c125,688$41,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,976.7416244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92ee…90e6backed No33c119,497$39,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,883.992161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+70.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No32c107,614$34,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,755.724858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes67c106,397$71,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,338.581,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc7…6bdebacked No33c100,010$33,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,003.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked No33c100,000$33,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,0007653.9%41 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d77…bcafbacked Yes69c100,000$69,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,0003525.7%9 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes66c100,000$66,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,00042345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes65c99,205$64,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,869.7117452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Yes68c87,431$59,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,977.771060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No32c86,914$27,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,696.4229740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes68c82,805$56,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,309.6275335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed No35c80,867$27,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,936.079131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No29c78,460$23,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,067.8113533.3%45 W · 90 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No30c78,358$23,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,765.6242541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa87d…e4bfbacked Yes68c72,445$49,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,182.474223.8%10 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+86%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed No34c69,994$23,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,798.127342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No32c68,639$21,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,966.189322.6%21 W · 72 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes70c67,512$47,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,103.7918047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c40…80dfbacked No30c66,760$20,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,223.852941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No32c66,226$21,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,192.479345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbba…dbffbacked No32c65,951$21,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,104.183718.9%7 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No35c61,558$21,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,326.6120844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Yes67c60,000$40,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,8007150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe613…540ebacked No32c59,998$19,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,199.45850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+165.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes68c58,824$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,823.5311645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes65c58,715$38,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,681.8115337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No37c56,992$21,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,022.261,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No33c54,998$18,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,339.4833555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No31c53,559$16,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,662.1221333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes77c50,417$38,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,689.4831945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes66c50,000$33,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Yes68c50,000$34,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,0002937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes70c49,719$35,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,719.1632429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No19c49,624$9,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,637.4521738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes76c48,106$36,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,373.5924441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No33c47,820$15,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,780.727843.6%34 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No22c47,695$10,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,63223540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed No33c45,999$15,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,179.732425%6 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No35c45,716$15,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,993.8314055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb840…55e7backed No35c45,425$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,999.891050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed No33c45,000$14,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,85022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No35c44,464$15,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,691.596634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No35c43,684$15,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,316.437345.2%33 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No30c43,550$13,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,095.9611642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No32c40,595$12,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,962.474134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No32c40,354$13,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,029.1629333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes67c40,001$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,000.2321444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked No32c40,000$12,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,8007050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked No23c40,000$9,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,299.9810840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed Yes67c38,776$25,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,796.137753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No34c38,509$13,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,123.626645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed No32c38,091$12,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,189.19850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes74c37,967$28,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,938.9716833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Yes67c37,963$25,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,587.256159%36 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No35c37,187$12,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,844.571,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c8…fd11backed Yes68c35,294$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,294.12825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No34c35,000$11,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,899.978943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2a3…3688backed Yes68c34,175$23,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,935.841553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes66c33,888$22,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,388.7565835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.