Fifa International · resolved market
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac111edf9fdf6fab06525d9a0216c16a2e54483c0df7ac58f1a83e9fa53b0c72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,474,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,043,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,474,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,624 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d36…0e68backed Yes | 22c | 1,996,933$439,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439,325.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 556,937$437,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,714.84 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked No | 78c | 411,963$321,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,631.95 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 78c | 385,551$300,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,046.7 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 13c | 255,030$32,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,133.76 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 222,570$46,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,769.65 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed No | 78c | 208,290$163,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,129.64 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked No | 78c | 200,000$156,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,000 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 22c | 187,310$41,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,208.18 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked No | 78c | 122,750$95,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,005 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked No | 78c | 105,800$82,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,276 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 78c | 102,046$79,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,162.95 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…89b1backed Yes | 22c | 100,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,999.98 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 22c | 90,340$19,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,874.73 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 85,364$17,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,256.26 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 78c | 65,684$51,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,607.39 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 53,971$11,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,801.07 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 22c | 50,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.98 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Yes | 13c | 45,348$5,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,895.19 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +86%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 78c | 39,961$31,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,791.37 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed No | 76c | 37,973$28,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,184.02 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 21c | 33,517$7,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,007.22 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…cf03backed Yes | 23c | 31,457$7,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,235.19 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 78c | 27,922$21,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,142.75 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 79c | 26,750$21,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,622.5 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 78c | 21,078$16,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,637.2 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…ac77backed No | 78c | 20,240$15,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,452.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 22c | 20,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…33f6backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed Yes | 22c | 20,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.99 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes | 16c | 18,750$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked No | 79c | 15,000$11,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x119b…ac3ebacked Yes | 23c | 13,043$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 23c | 13,000$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 22c | 12,000$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked No | 78c | 11,952$9,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.42 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 78c | 10,814$8,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.15 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…f18ebacked No | 78c | 10,039$7,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.58 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6a…4694backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…8df8backed No | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…7c05backed Yes | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…8acbbacked No | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 21c | 9,893$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…4fefbacked No | 78c | 9,111$7,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…a91ebacked No | 78c | 8,974$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 7c | 8,812$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.33 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1d…eb2ebacked Yes | 14c | 8,760$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.87 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 23c | 8,696$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…8985backed Yes | 21c | 8,267$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…8554backed No | 76c | 8,197$6,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.54 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 78c | 8,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 23c | 7,715$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.37 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 23c | 7,350$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.4 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 22c | 7,224$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Yes | 22c | 7,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 79c | 7,000$5,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.98 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 78c | 6,891$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.37 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 22c | 6,715$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.98 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829c…6cf6backed Yes | 22c | 6,556$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.92 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 78c | 6,529$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.86 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 78c | 6,500$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.44 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Yes | 22c | 6,465$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.26 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked Yes | 9c | 6,121$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.76 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66f…104cbacked Yes | 23c | 6,087$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 22c | 6,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 28c | 5,995$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.55 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 12c | 5,880$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.3 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23e…98a4backed Yes | 22c | 5,855$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes | 17c | 5,765$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e87…da91backed Yes | 22c | 5,659$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…f0b5backed Yes | 30c | 5,511$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.37 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0797…9d32backed Yes | 1c | 5,281$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 1c | 5,197$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 5,188$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.65 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked Yes | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed No | 78c | 4,961$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.47 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 22c | 4,831$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.5 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3566…ec5abacked Yes | 4c | 4,826$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.84 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Yes | 22c | 4,811$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.37 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 11c | 4,683$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.71 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed No | 78c | 4,600$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7995…6351backed Yes | 23c | 4,565$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 22c | 4,444$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.68 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…a98ebacked Yes | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 27c | 4,321$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…628abacked Yes | 16c | 4,301$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 15c | 4,286$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Yes | 22c | 4,217$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.94 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…f91dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,206$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.37 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes | 23c | 4,129$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.74 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 4,043$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.31 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed No | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc30…ad13backed Yes | 16c | 3,988$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.02 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cd…6a61backed No | 78c | 3,935$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.76 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Yes | 17c | 3,922$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.02 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…7c23backed No | 77c | 3,860$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.86 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 22c | 3,803$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.9 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ac14backed Yes | 25c | 3,713$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?this page
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes won
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.