Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Tomas Barrios
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x195865200ff5ee597b317ebc44f9b37887ca6574dd30f02d15cc7d8af1768823
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tomas Barriosof Marco Cecchinato, Tomas Barrios
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tomas Barrios | 79c | 20,195$15,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,282.04 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Marco Cecchinato | 26c | 12,706$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ba…f577backed Marco Cecchinato | 19c | 8,012$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.25 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…1090backed Marco Cecchinato | 17c | 4,661$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.47 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Marco Cecchinato | 13c | 2,280$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marco Cecchinato | 7c | 2,044$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.51 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Marco Cecchinato | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 280 | 32.5%91 W · 189 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Marco Cecchinato | 8c | 1,502$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Marco Cecchinato | 9c | 1,113$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Marco Cecchinato | 10c | 853.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Marco Cecchinato | 19c | 797.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 194 | 24.2%47 W · 147 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Marco Cecchinato | 16c | 742.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Marco Cecchinato | 4c | 603$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…dd87backed Marco Cecchinato | 10c | 575$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Marco Cecchinato | 7c | 505.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ae…85ccbacked Marco Cecchinato | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…89dabacked Marco Cecchinato | 7c | 410$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Marco Cecchinato | 13c | 391.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Marco Cecchinato | 9c | 366.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 759 | 12.1%92 W · 667 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Marco Cecchinato | 8c | 361.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tomas Barrios | 78c | 337.11$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…1782backed Marco Cecchinato | 9c | 335.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Marco Cecchinato | 9c | 291.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marco Cecchinato | 9c | 279.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Marco Cecchinato | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Marco Cecchinato | 18c | 226.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Marco Cecchinato | 15c | 205.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Marco Cecchinato | 15c | 177.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Marco Cecchinato | 7c | 171.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Marco Cecchinato | 13c | 171.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Marco Cecchinato | 13c | 163$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Marco Cecchinato | 16c | 146.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Marco Cecchinato | 15c | 134$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marco Cecchinato | 12c | 130.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Marco Cecchinato | 15c | 123$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Marco Cecchinato | 11c | 116.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -16.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Tomas Barrios | 79c | 114.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Marco Cecchinato | 10c | 104$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5283…b53cbacked Tomas Barrios | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Marco Cecchinato | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Tomas Barrios | 76c | 32.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Tomas Barrios | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 371 | 56.3%209 W · 162 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…be40backed Tomas Barrios | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Tomas Barriosthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Cecchinato vs BarriosBarrios won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.