Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Christopher O'Connell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3194a85869a8bcf4fc7edcae13e4b39faceca08fa8780ca249d76ce2369d489e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Christopher O'Connellof Joel Schwaerzler, Christopher O'Connell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Joel Schwaerzler | 19c | 18,421$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 17c | 18,086$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Joel Schwaerzler | 11c | 2,229$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.15 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Joel Schwaerzler | 19c | 1,565$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Joel Schwaerzler | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Joel Schwaerzler | 10c | 776.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Joel Schwaerzler | 18c | 752.26$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.76 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Joel Schwaerzler | 9c | 676.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…dd87backed Joel Schwaerzler | 12c | 608.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Joel Schwaerzler | 9c | 274.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Christopher O'Connell | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Joel Schwaerzler | 12c | 246.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Joel Schwaerzler | 21c | 239.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Joel Schwaerzler | 11c | 238.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Joel Schwaerzler | 25c | 237.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Joel Schwaerzler | 16c | 191.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Joel Schwaerzler | 11c | 142.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Joel Schwaerzler | 19c | 124.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Joel Schwaerzler | 21c | 96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Joel Schwaerzler | 14c | 85.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Joel Schwaerzler | 17c | 79.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Joel Schwaerzler | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Christopher O'Connell | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Christopher O'Connell | 74c | 32.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Christopher O'Connell | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Christopher O'Connell | 79c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…99f4backed Christopher O'Connell | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…ff61backed Christopher O'Connell | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…be40backed Christopher O'Connell | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Christopher O'Connellthis page
- Set 2 Winner: Schwaerzler vs O'ConnellO'Connell won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.