TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$248,378
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,378 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Over31c89,297$27,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,50019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under78c43,402$33,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,756.284,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under72c14,406$10,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,052.874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under69c14,338$9,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,392.093,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under71c13,000$9,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Under68c12,229$8,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,913.165749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under70c10,522$7,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,160.5644539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under70c10,000$6,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,05077845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Under72c8,182$5,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.967237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over28c6,666$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.4732029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over28c6,125$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.973,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over28c5,371$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.716930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over25c5,050$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.242,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under71c4,942$3,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.942,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under72c3,416$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.643,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over28c2,980$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.1410949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over13c2,615$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.634924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over29c2,414$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over26c2,413$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.222,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under73c2,291$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.541,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under72c2,211$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.964,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Under75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50010471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under75c1,868$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.0192038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over29c1,729$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under72c1,700$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47652455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over27c1,691$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.2159453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under72c1,575$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.192,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over23c1,404$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.822,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under72c1,331$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.5622355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under73c1,202$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.641,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under72c1,180$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.153,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over17c1,159$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19553629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d4…a750backed Over26c1,158$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over28c1,154$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32317938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over25c1,024$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25636631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under72c969.54$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.4770750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over29c910.98$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.4448328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Over24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015321.6%33 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e48…1ceebacked Over29c794.48$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under70c786.97$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9613727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed Over11c775.33$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8815621.8%34 W · 122 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over12c749.91$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9935424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under70c723.96$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2822029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…2874backed Under73c684.59$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.597247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over33c662.75$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.541,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under67c637.64$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.172,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over30c633.33$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under75c545.33$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3310042%42 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Under80c543.75$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7515747.1%74 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3223440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under79c499.97$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over21c474.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb91…dd87backed Over28c464.29$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over32c449.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.411,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over28c407.14$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11412419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11226921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over32c379.22$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Over28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012429%36 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over32c340.86$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.474,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Over23c306.94$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.626647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under72c300$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.051,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over8c300$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8415440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Over28c285.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8021321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b04…f6bbbacked Over30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-63.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7569534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over32c237.41$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.971,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under68c234.37$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…07eabacked Over27c222.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.12532%8 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over27c219.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.934844.3%154 W · 194 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…f504backed Under73c217.97$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.851080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under70c216.64$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.742,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed0…07e5backed Over28c207.14$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Over26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5220325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509330.1%28 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Over24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484621.7%10 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over33c200$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe182…9f09backed Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101802.8%5 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025937.5%97 W · 162 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under72c191$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.543,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8582…959fbacked Over30c182.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7810440.4%42 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under72c181$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.922,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Over24c179.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.268427.4%23 W · 61 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Over28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503721.6%8 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57b9…6655backed Over28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over26c178$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Over28c178$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8420224.3%49 W · 153 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under70c178$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.42,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ef…b3debacked Over19c175.88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.192326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b1…cc42backed Over25c172.04$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.261540%6 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+91.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under69c168.97$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.381,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Over30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011219.6%22 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.