TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,285,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,304,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,285,921 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 596 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34f6…4535backed Over35c331,398$115,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115,989.284456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Under65c150,000$97,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,5002669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Under66c87,000$57,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,579.9622348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under65c82,863$53,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,001.9974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under80c80,885$64,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,540.432,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over35c56,000$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,599.9817949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under65c52,154$33,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,295.333,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over35c50,993$17,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,775.811,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over11c25,270$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.758723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over34c22,222$7,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,555.4814045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over19c21,966$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,083.792,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under66c18,554$12,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,371.151,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over14c13,962$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.3649441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under65c13,676$8,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,786.4536247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x829c…6cf6backed Over34c12,651$4,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,275.922218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over35c12,500$4,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,374.9317748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under65c11,416$7,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,995.4836250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under66c11,000$7,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,739.9748441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under66c11,000$7,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.9447144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over7c10,445$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.0134924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under65c10,274$6,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,595.8920955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Over33c10,205$3,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,367.6914829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under66c9,021$5,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06744144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under66c9,000$5,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,034.9950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Under66c7,576$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.7614430.6%44 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under66c7,500$4,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.9947643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under66c6,724$4,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.782,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under66c6,508$4,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.053348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over33c6,167$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03530142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over21c5,887$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.2778317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Under65c5,750$3,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.513259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over33c5,748$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.758,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under67c5,240$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.261,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under66c5,200$3,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.9947442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Under66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70015642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over18c5,000$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.9338333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over22c4,972$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.282,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under67c4,398$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.652,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over33c4,093$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.6970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Under65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.9914433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under72c3,771$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.3165948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under77c3,341$2,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.773,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Under70c3,330$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9998254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over33c3,283$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.3938734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5849…c7c7backed Over34c3,244$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9278…9a1bbacked Under67c3,209$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.9615453.9%83 W · 71 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under65c3,200$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12037850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02023255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under66c2,980$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.961,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92eb…642cbacked Over26c2,849$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7459322.6%21 W · 72 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under69c2,840$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.884,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under65c2,800$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98038351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over35c2,800$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98011946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over22c2,721$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.881,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d5…d9c9backed Under79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.651776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over33c2,503$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.8533544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under65c2,400$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84035251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebe…17b9backed Under78c2,398$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.815356.6%30 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over23c2,306$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.942,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under67c2,275$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.691,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c2,037$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.034,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under64c2,029$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.2818850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Under74c2,027$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.038252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Under66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6801428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under64c1,910$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.7486452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under66c1,818$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.189456.4%53 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over30c1,760$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52825537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under67c1,755$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.134665.2%30 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under67c1,717$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.5961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under77c1,708$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.3244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under71c1,676$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.0611149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b6…022cbacked Over32c1,573$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014652.1%76 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Over33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49523427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54021640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa84…2b4bbacked Over34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over24c1,445$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9343826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over28c1,422$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.1117442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over35c1,416$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49017938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x645f…2c7fbacked Over35c1,394$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4882520%5 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-1.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Over34c1,324$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under75c1,259$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.0258942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under65c1,200$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42039050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under65c1,200$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42038451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over38c1,195$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9463544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under65c1,171$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.181,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Under67c1,045$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.7817045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over36c1,028$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over39c1,010$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.812,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34030950.8%157 W · 152 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35031851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under65c999.99$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over8c999.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under67c996.36$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.6139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under65c993.93$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.341,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under72c975.74$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.0175335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabef…1819backed Over19c961.34$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.588225.6%21 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over38c934.28$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.911,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.