TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: France (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iraqof France, Iraq
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$591,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$583,300

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $591,578 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed France15c320,797$48,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,75019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked France11c100,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed France11c28,888$3,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,077.048932.6%29 W · 60 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed France10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad3d…24e5backed France4c9,541$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.334032.5%13 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked France7c6,668$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.7375335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked France10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed France12c4,000$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.9724917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked France6c2,958$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.482,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed France10c2,898$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.1969534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce82…03d3backed France11c2,497$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.87321.9%16 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed France11c2,336$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.962,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked France12c2,323$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.636123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x68c1…caf8backed France12c2,256$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.074526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked France9c2,235$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked France10c1,999$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9110518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed France10c1,944$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.41277.4%2 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed France11c1,886$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd044…a6febacked France9c1,600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1443633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e5a…7032backed France1c1,600$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-44.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed France5c1,467$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.952,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked France16c1,236$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012329.3%36 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed France10c1,025$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.539039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed France7c999.47$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9615621.8%34 W · 122 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed France10c961.8$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.183,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0560…1610backed France12c837.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…5648backed France12c833.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014244.4%63 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked France12c800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed France10c799.66$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.971,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a58…3d65backed France15c668.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick12cpaid+125.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f5b…b598backed France9c600.28$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.613243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed France11c599.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6647127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed France9c567.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0942710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed France13c551.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed France10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed France10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed France10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6305…9d0bbacked France10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked France8c499.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015225.7%39 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6420…0f4bbacked France10c492$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.21225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fb…9b84backed France10c461$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2515235.5%54 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed France12c417.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015522.6%35 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x874a…b381backed France11c404.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435819%11 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked France3c401.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed France4c367.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513328.6%38 W · 95 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed France9c310$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.914235.9%51 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…aa7cbacked France11c296.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.64916.3%8 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa79d…921bbacked France12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301770.6%12 W · 5 L+6.1wins+0.36per pick35cpaid+147.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x3329…2f5cbacked France10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257215.3%11 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed France6c243.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1512437.1%46 W · 78 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72ef…f569backed France13c239.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309012.2%11 W · 79 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8668…f04fbacked France13c212.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271625%4 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked France9c211.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked France12c209.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519742.1%83 W · 114 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed France10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204626.1%12 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…14a8backed France10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked France13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269628.1%27 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a0…829fbacked France13c199.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked France9c197.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3670948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked France11c185.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.446442.2%27 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb83b…dc66backed France12c173.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206232.3%20 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f24…49a6backed France11c168.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.09425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578e…c3c0backed France12c167.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked France11c166.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.812,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed France10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159227.2%25 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed France9c143.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3615846.2%73 W · 85 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed France12c141.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1729018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf692…8655backed France10c140$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb1…944cbacked France11c135.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4611626.7%31 W · 85 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa967…9871backed France11c130.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.886639.4%26 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a70…d019backed France12c125.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153528.6%10 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292b…ec8ebacked France10c112.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed France18c111$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7487237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…0484backed France11c109.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211135.1%39 W · 72 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed France10c108$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.840240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed France12c101.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3949426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcdb…87d9backed France10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf8…8986backed France10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018850%94 W · 94 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked France10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026720.6%55 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed France10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe07f…34edbacked France10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked France10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe217…76bdbacked France10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108140.7%33 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed France12c91.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c86…6a80backed France11c89.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014839.9%59 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.