TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: France (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iraqof France, Iraq
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,526,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,412,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,526,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 716 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Iraq64c509,725$323,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185,730.3574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed France38c303,097$115,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Iraq67c289,918$194,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,754.154,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Iraq63c237,653$150,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,176.2877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed France35c195,572$67,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,587.792,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked France36c132,221$47,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,355.1442345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked France36c129,922$46,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,632.6923942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed France32c100,013$31,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,954.4417550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked France36c100,000$36,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,00014843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Iraq64c90,000$57,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,399.9622348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed France36c80,000$28,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,799.972147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Iraq63c60,739$38,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,473.3815249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed France35c50,000$17,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,500.149131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Iraq65c43,842$28,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,287.6651032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed France27c36,444$10,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,014.471,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed France36c35,567$12,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,804.089345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed France41c31,248$12,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,883.666045%27 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Iraq64c30,528$19,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,065.553,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed France1c30,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013447.8%64 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked France35c28,571$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00018740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed France36c21,339$7,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,682.149323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed France37c20,270$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5004025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed France28c14,454$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked France35c14,286$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008944.9%40 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed France35c12,979$4,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,542.66939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked France39c12,291$4,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,772.912,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06f8…2062backed France35c11,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8505916.9%10 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc3…9ab5backed France37c10,908$4,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,035.920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed France39c10,640$4,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,186.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30e1…8be4backed France36c10,417$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7504233.3%14 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed France17c10,285$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.4521029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1da…fefabacked France35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5004143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0da…1f80backed Iraq65c9,999$6,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.651330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked France29c9,900$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90325019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e8…d1b9backed France37c8,796$3,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,254.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed France35c8,571$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007129.6%21 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa608…1b35backed France30c8,333$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked France47c8,246$3,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,879.851,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked France34c8,197$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,815.4820646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Iraq64c8,000$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8808458.3%49 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed France19c7,756$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018544.9%83 W · 102 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed France36c7,734$2,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,773.7528229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa698…db5ebacked Iraq65c7,407$4,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.417962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Iraq64c7,318$4,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.181,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked France43c7,115$3,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,045.781,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked France54c6,579$3,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,550.731,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Iraq64c6,434$4,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.72,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed France59c6,000$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.719525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Iraq65c5,704$3,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.898047.5%38 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed France35c5,555$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.2532029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Iraq64c5,347$3,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.311,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Iraq56c5,223$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.054,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked France37c5,200$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92412536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed France40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00026447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x322f…ba1fbacked France61c4,918$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6305…9d0bbacked France35c4,286$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed France36c4,131$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Iraq65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40014433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Iraq60c3,642$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.173,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked France36c3,500$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.7847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed France46c3,492$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.381,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Iraq68c3,472$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.0615157.6%87 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Iraq65c3,437$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.6848441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked France29c3,324$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.1441968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Iraq65c3,291$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.4350243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed France28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84017642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed France34c2,900$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.9911044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Iraq66c2,845$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.276953.6%37 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed France52c2,840$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.7343230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed France36c2,740$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016041.3%66 W · 94 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked France31c2,700$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.6915763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Iraq56c2,674$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.7822633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed France22c2,507$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.871,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89a4…ee1abacked Iraq63c2,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.98850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed France51c2,456$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.8820856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a76…53debacked France37c2,432$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004628.3%13 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed France28c2,386$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.572,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked France48c2,380$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.8375335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked France58c2,105$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.8825244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed France37c1,992$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.0728025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53e1…f420backed France36c1,950$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70213837.7%52 W · 86 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9016…7d9dbacked France36c1,944$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Iraq65c1,829$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.8892038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Iraq64c1,739$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.6144144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…fd1bbacked France35c1,714$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009630.2%29 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb157…0120backed France35c1,714$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015042.7%64 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed France59c1,692$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed France34c1,686$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.4910026%26 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Iraq64c1,680$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.81,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x811e…ce09backed France38c1,653$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6228035%28 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa850…9b11backed France17c1,633$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.5315229.6%45 W · 107 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c41…eeb9backed France37c1,631$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.558026.3%21 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed France35c1,624$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.4127034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked France28c1,543$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.7653629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Iraq65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5255841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked France37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5557338.4%28 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c0…8d4cbacked France35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5255856.9%33 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed France34c1,477$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.167835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed France35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017950.3%90 W · 89 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff58…78f4backed France35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.