TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,067,449
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,168,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,067,449 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 587 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under45c138,092$62,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,914.253,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over55c119,999$66,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,999.7242345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over55c90,909$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under44c77,684$34,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,503.0674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over55c70,583$39,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,00014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed Under45c46,500$20,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,5758440.5%34 W · 50 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c45,138$25,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,144.384,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Under45c45,023$20,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,762.4122139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under46c40,580$18,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,721.538,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over49c36,076$17,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,748.112,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Over56c35,471$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00018047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over55c31,247$17,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,076.092,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under45c23,332$10,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,832.581,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under50c19,822$9,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,844.9136235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c16,000$7,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,616.461,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under49c15,585$7,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,875.8377845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under46c15,367$7,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,276.94,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c14,865$5,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,756.933,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over56c14,635$8,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,186.272,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under45c12,158$5,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,686.929740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Over58c11,750$6,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,85017733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under44c11,653$5,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,473.2746546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under50c10,876$5,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,392.8744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under51c9,588$4,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,731.6464446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Over56c8,929$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009549.5%47 W · 48 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under48c8,707$4,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,527.7437959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over5c7,459$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.2539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over53c7,071$3,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,747.7577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over40c7,015$2,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.082,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Over39c6,943$2,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,707.9419332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over16c6,788$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.7727931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Over59c6,782$3,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,99411555.7%64 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under54c6,479$3,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.1337650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c6,262$2,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,403.32,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under48c6,188$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,197.716357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under37c6,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,78015844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over46c6,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.9743248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over44c5,621$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over48c5,421$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,581.412,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.9911443%49 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under52c4,644$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.8544130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…a96fbacked Under45c4,524$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,488.124344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over3c4,103$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7851backed Over55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under46c3,891$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.37753.2%41 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over56c3,806$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.161,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over53c3,693$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.811,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c3,496$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.784,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Over54c3,380$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,825.428743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over54c3,372$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.371,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c3,194$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.92,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under48c3,000$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.9512947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over52c2,884$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.687237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over35c2,790$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.615440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3208…4a5ebacked Over48c2,730$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.03922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21e8…b85ebacked Over56c2,679$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over56c2,660$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4854148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over23c2,620$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.5236234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under48c2,538$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.6219649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under48c2,495$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.3746550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed Under45c2,443$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.665244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under44c2,400$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,33235251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under48c2,171$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.340343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under50c2,148$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.5692038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under46c2,091$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.0636250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Over55c2,015$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.319547.4%45 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.0764443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked Over20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac11…9d3abacked Over45c2,000$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.995558.2%32 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Over41c1,955$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8006732.8%22 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over56c1,915$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.991,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under50c1,884$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.1329740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over49c1,859$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over52c1,851$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.688530.6%26 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…165cbacked Under46c1,800$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.961450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over41c1,789$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.541,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under55c1,723$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.3536437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under39c1,677$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.9611558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over49c1,674$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.822,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over4c1,626$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6722933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4907…f72abacked Under50c1,613$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.423250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over13c1,600$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.534924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under45c1,600$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88037850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over54c1,532$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.181,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b9…57ecbacked Under46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1159…c711backed Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dde…24ecbacked Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ec…8d8ebacked Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Under45c1,483$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.6621044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Over2c1,481$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4338819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under49c1,479$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.2916946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under46c1,472$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.8826454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under47c1,402$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.1761750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under45c1,400$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77038351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under69c1,371$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.6920839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over55c1,364$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under46c1,296$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.8218850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Over40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.