Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a720d8c48ed40d55111d84285d2c7579dc6b4d13f1725f1687ed4ec349e94ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 2c | 36,769$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.59 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…9fb6backed Over | 2c | 21,228$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.31 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 2c | 8,020$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 1c | 7,686$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 2c | 3,654$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 2c | 2,435$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 432 | 30.1%130 W · 302 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 2c | 2,426$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 2c | 2,341$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 304 | 63.5%193 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 2c | 2,011$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…8741backed Over | 2c | 1,845$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…231dbacked Over | 2c | 1,739$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 3c | 1,200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Over | 3c | 1,090$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 1c | 1,083$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 2c | 963.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…13abbacked Over | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Over | 2c | 830$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…f569backed Over | 3c | 674.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 12.2%11 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…e7fbbacked Over | 3c | 599.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…4a2cbacked Over | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x627b…285bbacked Over | 2c | 524.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…9871backed Over | 3c | 513.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 2c | 500.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…14c3backed Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…04f7backed Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 156 | 21.8%34 W · 122 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdd…58c2backed Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b3…5c98backed Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5this page
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Over won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5Under won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-2.5)France won
- Spread: France (-3.5)Iraq won
- Spread: France (-4.5)Iraq won
- Spread: France (-5.5)Iraq won
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Iraq (-2.5)France won
- Spread: Iraq (-4.5)France won
- Spread: Iraq (-5.5)France won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.