TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: France (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iraqof France, Iraq
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$564,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$588,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $564,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed France24c196,932$46,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,75019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Iraq76c71,289$54,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,109.2674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Iraq77c50,000$38,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,5006448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked France19c50,000$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,499.9418740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Iraq78c14,151$11,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,098.513,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Iraq78c12,512$9,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,752.6974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed France20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Iraq79c9,365$7,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.772,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99b6…347ebacked France22c8,607$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.471526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed France41c8,353$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4006045%27 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Iraq56c5,019$2,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,221.1525753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed France20c4,959$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.8952744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked France20c4,771$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.3914428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Iraq80c4,406$3,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.381,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Iraq80c4,319$3,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.661,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked France13c4,298$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.1675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed France11c4,279$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.032,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked France20c3,671$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.166442.2%27 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked France12c3,599$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.272,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed France22c3,560$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80024917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed France28c3,520$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed France21c3,383$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.132937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked France15c3,380$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.072,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked France22c2,619$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.2412536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed France20c2,599$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.859131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Iraq78c2,581$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.981,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked France20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9612616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x89a4…ee1abacked Iraq75c2,460$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.6850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked France22c2,270$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked France13c2,091$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.632,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Iraq77c2,015$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.951,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed France21c2,000$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.282,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x310d…4decbacked France19c1,831$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.9510142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd044…a6febacked France18c1,600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.993633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Iraq77c1,447$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2425848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed France22c1,445$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31818626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed France22c1,428$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.7413736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd325…fd1bbacked France22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009630.2%29 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked France19c1,321$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9016…7d9dbacked France22c1,270$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.52236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a4…895bbacked France22c1,176$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.732737%10 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Iraq58c1,060$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.72,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19b…e375backed France7c1,014$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed France9c1,006$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9015621.8%34 W · 122 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked France20c999.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.994623.9%11 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+53.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f5b…b598backed France19c998.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.813243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed France21c945.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed0d…bc18backed France21c936.06$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.38231.7%26 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed France22c916.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed France22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012429%36 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Iraq76c894.53$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.4277845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed France24c889.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Iraq80c880$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17617045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed France20c847.95$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.5826459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cc8…c21fbacked Iraq79c830.77$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.462343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed France21c790.02$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.92,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce82…03d3backed France19c751.3$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.447321.9%16 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed France21c696$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.332,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed France22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Iraq77c649$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.272,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Iraq80c648.98$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.962,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Iraq79c639.52$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.114445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Iraq78c628.67$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.026555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5a…7032backed France7c600$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-44.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed France21c600$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12647127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cd…f35fbacked France12c590.53$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709540%38 W · 57 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed France21c525.63$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4827034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Iraq80c503.03$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1129558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked France20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1ff…01d0backed France20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009139.6%36 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x811e…ce09backed France22c500$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088035%28 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed France19c499.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9528337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed France20c492.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked France21c476$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.837237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed France22c464.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked France22c462.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012329.3%36 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51fb…9b84backed France18c461$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0815235.5%54 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked France22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9c2…9389backed France22c449.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005819%11 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid+23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x860d…5648backed France22c446.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014244.4%63 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed France21c444.18$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9530928.8%89 W · 220 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ff…f2bebacked France23c437.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023929.7%71 W · 168 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed France22c434.64$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6229636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed France22c408.95$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3845120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Iraq78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8831851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c18…a04cbacked France25c384.06$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.624944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked France18c346.49$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.231,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8026…4005backed France16c330.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.29819.4%19 W · 79 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed France20c319.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.271,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed France22c318.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7024242.6%103 W · 139 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Iraq56c317.13$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.556144.3%27 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed France7c310.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7548937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked France19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5732046.6%149 W · 171 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed France18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5414235.9%51 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x779c…b96fbacked France20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012322%27 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked France21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6315225.7%39 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x509e…be29backed France9c277.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed France21c267.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5718548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed France19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509428.7%27 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed France20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.