France vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2cad61516b1b931bb806fb98b3309e32f498cd6436108dfab3661dafaf3ac6c

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $523,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $569,003

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,215 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under	14c	34,175$4,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,827.13	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under	15c	22,727$3,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,409.09	145	44.8%65 W · 80 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under	1c	20,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	364	37.1%135 W · 229 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under	1c	20,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	245	33.5%82 W · 163 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	9c	14,640$1,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,251.71	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under	9c	14,437$1,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,354.91	143	25.2%36 W · 107 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under	17c	14,003$2,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,351.57	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	11c	11,256$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,190.17	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under	9c	10,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	9c	9,818$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.6	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5e…39a9backed Under	6c	7,884$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	10c	6,783$679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.13	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	10c	6,621$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.64	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	10c	5,284$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.63	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under	10c	5,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Under	4c	5,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	160	41.3%66 W · 94 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	10c	4,269$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.92	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under	9c	3,240$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.59	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under	1c	2,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	175	34.9%61 W · 114 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under	1c	2,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	362	34%123 W · 239 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	11c	2,453$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.26	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under	11c	2,046$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.08	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Under	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	270	32.2%87 W · 183 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b51…9144backed Under	15c	1,999$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.92	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+7.9wins	+0.19per pick	38cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	9c	1,812$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.47	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	11c	1,403$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.38	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	10c	1,291$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.66	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea16…79debacked Under	14c	1,250$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under	1c	1,100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	94	8.5%8 W · 86 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	10c	779.59$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.89	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under	6c	776.95$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.41	782	34.3%268 W · 514 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x275e…3cf4backed Under	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under	3c	733.31$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	236	45.3%107 W · 129 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	14c	716.93$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.93	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…cbe8backed Under	14c	700$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	124	35.5%44 W · 80 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under	14c	684.05$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.77	230	36.1%83 W · 147 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Under	10c	641.83$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.18	254	54.7%139 W · 115 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	11c	605.96$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.54	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	9c	569.02$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.17	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	10c	553.97$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.49	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4f…88f0backed Under	14c	500.64$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.59	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcd…9293backed Under	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	135	31.9%43 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	246	26%64 W · 182 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under	9c	440.04$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.9	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	9c	420$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.8	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d5…658bbacked Under	6c	416.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	153	36.6%56 W · 97 L	+12.2wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	10c	403.54$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.98	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	6c	383.04$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.24	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	9c	341.54$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.27	823	48.8%402 W · 421 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5f…f7aebacked Under	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	10c	313.6$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.36	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Under	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	142	42.3%60 W · 82 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Under	11c	299.98$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	245	42.9%105 W · 140 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf215…79ccbacked Under	5c	298.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.94	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Under	13c	276$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.21	79	11.4%9 W · 70 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under	10c	213.16$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.35	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Under	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea93…29b0backed Under	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	7c	200$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Under	10c	199.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	323	17.6%57 W · 266 L	-43.8wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	11c	188.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.85	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Under	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	102	24.5%25 W · 77 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Under	7c	170$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	181	18.2%33 W · 148 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Under	12c	161.81$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.35	285	35.8%102 W · 183 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	9c	143$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under	14c	137.15$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	732	34.6%253 W · 479 L	-22.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Under	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	27.2%34 W · 91 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Under	12c	108.97$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.07	197	34.5%68 W · 129 L	-12.9wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ba3…97cebacked Under	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	144	44.4%64 W · 80 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa625…fac6backed Under	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	390	43.6%170 W · 220 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Under	11c	102.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	80	65%52 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Under	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	120	13.3%16 W · 104 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x409a…df2fbacked Under	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b9…5a25backed Under	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Under	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5c7…fedfbacked Under	15c	90.4$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.56	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…89ebbacked Under	16c	83.92$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.21	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Under	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	195	40%78 W · 117 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Over	79c	17.02$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.57	379	50.1%190 W · 189 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

France vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5this page
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: Iraq 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Over won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5Under won
France vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: France (-1.5)France won
Spread: France (-2.5)France won
Spread: France (-3.5)Iraq won
Spread: France (-4.5)Iraq won
Spread: France (-5.5)Iraq won
Spread: Iraq (-1.5)France won
Spread: Iraq (-2.5)France won
Spread: Iraq (-4.5)France won
Spread: Iraq (-5.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

France vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event