TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$299,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$315,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over27c30,500$8,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,356.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over30c15,967$4,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,848.693,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over14c13,338$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.3236123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x987b…df43backed Under65c12,843$8,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,524.942360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Under66c12,381$8,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,180.5410562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7b3…74a5backed Under67c8,735$5,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.941392.3%12 W · 1 L+5.2wins+0.40per pick53cpaid+106.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Over33c8,063$2,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,660.9520731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa3c…3111backed Under65c7,694$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,694.134341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over35c6,385$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.7837959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Over37c5,510$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.6615127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under64c5,045$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.862,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under71c4,692$3,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.342,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over14c2,930$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.942,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over27c2,839$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.372,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c2,821$1,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.473,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over37c2,680$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.9212349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over20c2,611$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.1936437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under63c2,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92526447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over15c2,439$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.31,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over30c2,224$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.058,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Under63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74027845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Over8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604238.1%16 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over8c1,986$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8865737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over34c1,960$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.831,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over11c1,905$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.364,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Over36c1,667$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002536%9 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under64c1,650$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.577163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8875…7548backed Under63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under66c1,560$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.416946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Under65c1,554$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.7813237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9522441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Under65c1,400$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4904456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006432.8%21 W · 43 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e17…9d3cbacked Under76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.794067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under67c1,315$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.325244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over18c1,200$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21635424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over12c1,199$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.91,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over17c1,194$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9917938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a8…be88backed Under65c1,015$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.384353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under66c1,000$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34537754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020337.9%77 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under64c950.03$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.522,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over35c925$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under63c850$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Under63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.655360.4%32 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over34c781.65$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.282,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under67c760.06$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.273,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under67c756$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.682,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Under64c700$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2526354%34 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under64c650.36$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.653,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…9d0bbacked Under64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed Under63c619.05$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.0527454%148 W · 126 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Under64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2168453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over37c583.2$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.7861750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over35c571.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Under65c560$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1962748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+120.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a18…edebbacked Over20c550.21$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.826250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under78c530.97$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8221937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18016165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11545445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Under64c499.99$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18022835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…9324backed Under64c499.99$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.999654.2%52 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over33c499.97$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under77c492.4$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.892,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over36c480.56$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17316953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71d2…4be6backed Under64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7510259.8%61 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Under63c463.49$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4915227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Under66c457.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1428528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…c73fbacked Under80c451.37$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.372770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45f2…722ebacked Under65c431.58$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.586338.1%24 W · 39 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under74c426.77$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.242,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over34c419.76$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.011,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over36c414.2$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.671,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Under63c413.53$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.011070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over32c411.97$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1448328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa661…af49backed Under65c407.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.85044%22 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Under64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14412535.2%44 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77af…7b28backed Under66c388.14$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.411668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+42.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over36c385.35$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.171,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under67c383.68$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.822,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…9f20backed Under66c376.74$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.743941%16 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over14c368.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under64c362.71$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.33,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over37c350.82$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2264443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Under71c350.82$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10314856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b7f…2ee8backed Over14c347.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.641338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over38c323.42$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.98652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under62c313.32$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0623255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…0201backed Under66c303.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.593562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f18…c075backed Under66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.035151%26 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over14c300.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over14c300$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.41,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c14…a20abacked Under65c298.32$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.411181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over34c295.97$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6310153.5%54 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under65c292.57$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.41,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over35c292.18$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.673,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9aa…6628backed Over22c290$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.83030%9 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4884…237cbacked Under72c277.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9210055%55 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.