TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f18…c075

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5151%26 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$749
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$209
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.95
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$117.86
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$117.86
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$138.46
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$127.78
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$95.9
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$162.5
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$117.65
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$95.9
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$84.38
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT4045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$198.84
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$502.17
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+900%+$900
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$350
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$100.18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$231.74
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.77
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$115.39
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$139.09
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Dbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$247
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$190.91
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$162.5
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$122.94
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+152.5%+$200.07
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.9
Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.