CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb0274c5019480d7cc253d3b3d1fcc609da829d452f7b12395211dcaf8776085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Leo Team | 34c | 3,378$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.35 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked KOLESIE | 67c | 1,068$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.3 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Leo Team | 50c | 1,015$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.5 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked KOLESIE | 67c | 985.41$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.84 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed KOLESIE | 53c | 744.7$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.38 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Leo Team | 3c | 604.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Leo Team | 46c | 568$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Leo Team | 37c | 500$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KOLESIE | 62c | 461.32$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.02 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked KOLESIE | 63c | 440$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.84 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed KOLESIE | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Leo Team | 38c | 430.87$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.42 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KOLESIE | 66c | 401.56$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.92 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Leo Team | 37c | 396.14$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Leo Team | 41c | 375$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Leo Team | 39c | 361.22$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed KOLESIE | 63c | 344.03$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.83 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked KOLESIE | 57c | 341.7$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.93 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed KOLESIE | 57c | 341$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.63 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…09e5backed KOLESIE | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…c075backed KOLESIE | 62c | 322.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed KOLESIE | 57c | 297.21$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Leo Team | 38c | 273.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.66 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed Leo Team | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Leo Team | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed Leo Team | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 155 | 40%62 W · 93 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed KOLESIE | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked KOLESIE | 61c | 243.74$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ba…fea9backed Leo Team | 39c | 241.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Leo Team | 16c | 237.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafc5…2b1dbacked Leo Team | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…5090backed Leo Team | 37c | 225.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Leo Team | 18c | 225$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Leo Team | 38c | 224.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Leo Team | 5c | 213$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Leo Team | 12c | 178.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Leo Team | 29c | 151$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Leo Team | 30c | 143.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…7712backed Leo Team | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed KOLESIE | 64c | 137.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed KOLESIE | 67c | 92.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked KOLESIE | 61c | 80.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Leo Team | 18c | 77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5864backed Leo Team | 39c | 76.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed KOLESIE | 72c | 62.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Leo Team | 28c | 62.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked KOLESIE | 73c | 61.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Leo Team | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked KOLESIE | 57c | 57.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked KOLESIE | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked KOLESIE | 71c | 35.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team | 43c | 35.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Leo Team | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed KOLESIE | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KOLESIE | 67c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…528cbacked KOLESIE | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked KOLESIE | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…24c3backed KOLESIE | 58c | 19.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KOLESIE | 68c | 15.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group StageLeo Team won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leo Team (-6.5) vs KOLESIE (+6.5)KOLESIE won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)Leo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.