TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Leo Teamof KOLESIE, Leo Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,434
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,434 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa927…8d9fbacked KOLESIE52c5,820$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.5334559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed KOLESIE23c3,083$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.172,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bc8…09e5backed KOLESIE58c2,248$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Leo Team50c2,009$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.416,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Leo Team46c1,613$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.42,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team48c1,569$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.937,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team42c1,399$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.215,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Leo Team62c1,201$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.334,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked KOLESIE55c1,190$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.5935460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked KOLESIE60c1,095$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.924,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leo Team58c1,004$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.425,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked KOLESIE47c1,000$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.7720944.5%93 W · 116 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed KOLESIE49c999$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.6324551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Leo Team45c880$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48413043.1%56 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed KOLESIE49c812.91$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.3162048.2%299 W · 321 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked KOLESIE58c700$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4067250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Leo Team43c692.89$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.1520355.2%112 W · 91 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bf6…2d98backed KOLESIE46c689.49$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.991866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed Leo Team18c612.5$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.57548%36 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed KOLESIE56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…47fcbacked Leo Team45c494.9$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.298942.7%38 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Leo Team42c494.66$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.454,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Leo Team45c469.73$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.351,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Leo Team53c464.82$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.8247447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Leo Team51c426.1$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.885,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked KOLESIE55c418.18$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23010137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed KOLESIE52c384.06$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0930155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed KOLESIE41c382.47$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.235,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed KOLESIE58c348.08$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.897250%36 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9044…dcedbacked KOLESIE46c339.97$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.386755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Leo Team52c330.41$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.221,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed KOLESIE29c328.83$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3612651.6%65 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x41a0…87e7backed Leo Team53c278.71$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.959140.7%37 W · 54 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed Leo Team43c277.57$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2119748.7%96 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1052…441bbacked Leo Team75c265.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.629567.4%64 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Leo Team40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15043137.8%163 W · 268 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafc5…2b1dbacked Leo Team22c240$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.28333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Leo Team54c236$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.693,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Leo Team40c222.5$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.522838.2%87 W · 141 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Leo Team52c219.81$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.42,60352.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Leo Team55c207.6$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.253,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0710…9335backed Leo Team45c203.88$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8813127.5%36 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Leo Team40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,31444.3%582 W · 732 L+47.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc890…c2ffbacked Leo Team52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c6c…5e36backed Leo Team36c195.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.923956.5%135 W · 104 L+15.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked Leo Team53c187$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8920248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked Leo Team55c181.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.196744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed KOLESIE59c172.28$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9816344.2%72 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed KOLESIE55c160$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked Leo Team50c158.76$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7626048.8%127 W · 133 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Leo Team72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3548543.1%209 W · 276 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Leo Team49c149$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.652,34346.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L-49.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Leo Team57c144.32$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.622,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Leo Team54c141.11$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2927544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd976…7636backed Leo Team71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8511155%61 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed KOLESIE56c136.2$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.275538.2%21 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8b58…3474backed KOLESIE46c107.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Leo Team50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,27721.9%280 W · 997 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…6b17backed KOLESIE76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610551.4%54 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80a6…a3e0backed KOLESIE43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.272454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Leo Team52c99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5232746.5%152 W · 175 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed KOLESIE53c92.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496946.4%32 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked Leo Team31c82.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9321741%89 W · 128 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed KOLESIE41c82.23$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6378043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x646a…cd90backed KOLESIE62c80.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509353.8%50 W · 43 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc620…7a70backed KOLESIE50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015540%62 W · 93 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked KOLESIE31c79.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9762738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed KOLESIE42c77.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.282,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed KOLESIE45c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5630247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Leo Team48c73.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9264046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed KOLESIE72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5077351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Leo Team28c69.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5032840.2%132 W · 196 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9410…b32ebacked Leo Team79c63.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.396256.5%35 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97c4…9991backed KOLESIE56c63.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512155.4%67 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Leo Team39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.617946.4%83 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94c0…a805backed KOLESIE37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0511958.8%70 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0776…34b4backed Leo Team50c59.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked KOLESIE51c58.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0167147.1%316 W · 355 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecc…5672backed Leo Team44c56.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.853531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Leo Team44c55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0559732.2%192 W · 405 L-49.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…1701backed KOLESIE55c51.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.351637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked KOLESIE40c50.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.272,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked Leo Team66c49.19$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6936174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x911f…5ed0backed Leo Team49c48.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9819939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Leo Team71c48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1637441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked KOLESIE54c45.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8327740.8%113 W · 164 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked KOLESIE56c41.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.387647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked Leo Team56c41.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2114856.1%83 W · 65 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked KOLESIE62c41.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.031,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Leo Team46c41.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.352,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Leo Team42c41.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0350051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Leo Team40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.267350.1%337 W · 336 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Leo Team43c37.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4666436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df3…b8bebacked KOLESIE51c37.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1321254.2%115 W · 97 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8490…ac46backed KOLESIE55c36.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba6e…bc14backed Leo Team42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.712548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Leo Team68c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.27139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fed…7b95backed Leo Team48c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.21070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed KOLESIE44c33.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0191743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked KOLESIE49c33.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3515732.5%51 W · 106 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.