TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x911f…5ed0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
305
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT19939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 199 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$61.09
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.28
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.57
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.01
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.32
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$39.54
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$55.26
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.78
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$64.47
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$50.38
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.98
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winnerbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$25.91
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+300%+$73.14
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.05
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.1
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.67
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 199 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$62.45
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Edmen Shahbazyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Farés Ziam win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bryce Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.16
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Junior Tafa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Édgar Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Joanderson Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Yuneisy Duben · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.8
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$47.82
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jeremy Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.84
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.51
UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Ozzy Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$73.13
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Roman Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.8
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.14
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
UFC Fight Night: Chris Curtis vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Chris Curtis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Steven Asplund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Bruno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed SuYoung You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Bolaji Oki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Bolaji Oki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.21
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.07
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$93.85
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.17
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$29.28
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.69
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$99.62
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$143
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$64.1
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-60.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.19
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$26.74
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.45
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$39.16
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$38.43
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$29.9
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.82
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$19.51
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will AEK win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Crystal Palace FC vs. AEK Lárnakas: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+176.7%+$105.84
Will AZ win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.33
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.92
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.78
Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.07
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.5%+$42.93
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.