Premier League · resolved market
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3d3cfb5db9a7658b535cfae8c063108d71518853346a4eadc689a491cbd6be4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,447 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 3,123$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 2,369$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.22 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 29c | 2,300$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 30c | 1,652$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.7 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 70c | 1,190$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.92 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,014$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.44 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…6268backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 11c | 455.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 437.04$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.06 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 18c | 368.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 271.65$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 249.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 203.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Yes | 31c | 161.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…ea77backed Yes | 31c | 149.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 69c | 149.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 126.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 123.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 118.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Yes | 30c | 113.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 30c | 102.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 72c | 97.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 23c | 96.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 28c | 94.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 75.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 30c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 61.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 28c | 61.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fc…722bbacked No | 70c | 60.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…c98bbacked Yes | 30c | 56.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 25c | 56.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…b669backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed Yes | 25c | 46.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 72c | 20.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 79c | 15.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-03-16?Yes won
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-03-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.