TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-03-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,126

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes44c14,410$6,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,317.052,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c9,670$7,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.726,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes19c9,616$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.052,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No56c9,040$5,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,977.5912847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Yes44c9,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9601241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes44c7,222$3,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,177.6250644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked No57c4,744$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.162646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7603060%18 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+59%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No56c3,500$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5409272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes8c2,200$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18534628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed No58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.143938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No56c1,330$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes44c1,292$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.9951750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No56c1,179$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.351,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44030149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No56c987.05$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.177268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes18c698.66$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.814,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes42c608.21$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.631,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Yes45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No56c529.41$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.941,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes44c454.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17636956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes44c384.09$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16911146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes17c381.46$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1510234.3%35 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8826344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13225544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Yes44c287.57$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.532673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Yes20c263.15$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.63520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-59.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11065557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11060557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes44c246.6$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes44c238$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0915534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Yes43c210$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed No56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes13c199.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2732822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes43c199.44$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7480953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5712139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No56c175$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7737557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No56c175$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7735157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No56c160$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.427354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3607…928abacked Yes44c157$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c6…b718backed Yes44c152$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6635056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6637958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes43c142.14$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1269851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes42c140.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.331,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No56c140$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.636259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No56c140$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.629057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No58c138.28$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0810750.5%54 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes20c133.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1440821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5546660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2513550.4%68 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5528255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5556158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5538358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed No62c120.54$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.546762.7%42 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.827846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.832357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.881559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No56c112$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2845751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No74c110.26$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0557150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes44c110.05$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0527051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.426158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.430554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.425456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No56c110$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.426058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4426958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4437554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4436758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.24422.7%10 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc38e…dce8backed No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4329158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed No57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2119128.8%55 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4420763.8%132 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No56c95.39$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.911850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes42c95.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9727948%134 W · 145 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Yes44c89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.167440.5%30 W · 44 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Yes46c86.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.93050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No58c86.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.210949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No56c79.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.212050%60 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93e…96eabacked No56c74.7$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.871464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+43.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No77c68.43$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4249753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No56c67.26$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6539052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes40c66.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.711,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes20c65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312639.7%50 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfad4…08b6backed No57c65$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No56c65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.617456.9%99 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No56c62.49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.54477.3%34 W · 10 L+10.2wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+45.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.422958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.