Premier League · resolved market
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-03-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20d9f6c811dacf0a276cdcb4cc1cc8bf556136e7615d8e8458a200e4779e1d89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,333 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 28c | 6,503$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,711.52 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 5,970$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.36 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 5,472$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,979.92 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 64c | 5,007$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.26 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 3,596$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.77 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.38 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 37c | 1,721$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.36 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Yes | 52c | 1,570$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 1,455$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.14 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 72c | 1,182$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.51 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 1,150$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.22 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 832.05$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.34 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 44c | 674.88$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.88 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 28c | 557.64$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.5 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 544$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.68 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 64c | 509.3$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 35c | 472.65$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.22 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 468.7$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.86 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 72c | 453.54$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.55 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 28c | 446.43$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.43 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 27c | 365.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.59 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 28c | 359.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.13 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 26c | 351.51$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.12 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 292.55$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.11 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 287.46$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.97 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 281.29$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.24 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 262.31$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.97 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 257.64$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.79 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 236.15$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.39 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 231.2$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 19c | 219.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…e260backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 288 | 24.7%71 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No | 74c | 185.13$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 73c | 175$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.75 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 41c | 139.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 407 | 21.9%89 W · 318 L | -53.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 27c | 136.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 73c | 125$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…ce9bbacked Yes | 74c | 121.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 120$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked No | 16c | 112.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 73c | 110$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 73c | 110$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 73c | 110$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…cb37backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 73c | 95.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 55c | 91.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -16.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…09a4backed No | 47c | 80.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 27c | 79.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 72.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 71.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed No | 56c | 70.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 43c | 62.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…afabbacked Yes | 45c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -56%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e2…b51abacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 39c | 52.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 29c | 51.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 55c | 45.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 66c | 45.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +190.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 44.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked No | 30c | 44.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -6.5wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 41c | 44.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079c…a211backed No | 43c | 42.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 44c | 40.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 726 | 58.7%426 W · 300 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 38.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019b…8edebacked No | 38c | 37.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5578…f06cbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…fc6bbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yes | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 72c | 34.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…b945backed No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d6…f429backed Yes | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-03-16?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-03-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.