TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe897…fc6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT4445.5%20 W · 24 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.71
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.65
Kings vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.74
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.32
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.88
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$15.27
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$4.45
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.32
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+562.4%+$112.48
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST3661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$33.57
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.84
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7.6
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$8.58
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.5%+$21.02
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$209.54
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+46.8%+$38.13
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+313%+$85.22
Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$79.91
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+36.8%+$24.17
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$45.1
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.54
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.27
Kentucky Wildcats vs. LSU Tigersbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Green Bay Phoenixbacked Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.45
Clemson Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Memphis Tigersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. South Carolina Gamecocksbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+78.6%+$14.65
All 13 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+212.5%+$31.88
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.57
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohiobacked UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Memphis vs. North Carolina Statebacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$26.79
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+170.3%+$23.91
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick76cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.