AI · resolved market
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x677c19032d9fc09658a4b05826e3efd656d725394bc2f5a4ea4b2c4e41a2077a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $338,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $365,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb2c…20c3backed No | 35c | 35,106$12,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,818.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x638f…fb41backed Yes | 65c | 35,106$22,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,818.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa14…5133backed Yes | 64c | 31,527$20,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,177.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9268…6ce0backed No | 36c | 31,527$11,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,177.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 73c | 16,804$12,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,597.36 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ff…8e9fbacked Yes | 33c | 12,381$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,105.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…288cbacked No | 61c | 6,086$3,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…1743backed Yes | 35c | 4,324$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed Yes | 36c | 4,047$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf398…51e2backed Yes | 10c | 3,983$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…aa46backed No | 70c | 3,365$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.1 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +55%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 21c | 3,342$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.38 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…490dbacked Yes | 75c | 3,271$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 47c | 3,158$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.03 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…e2c5backed Yes | 26c | 3,019$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.83 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…0a2fbacked No | 62c | 3,009$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 34c | 2,869$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.66 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 32c | 2,696$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.45 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 71c | 2,692$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.79 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 79c | 2,611$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.78 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d1…87a7backed No | 76c | 2,435$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.54 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,720$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.64 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 49c | 1,697$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.79 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c94…f163backed Yes | 52c | 1,638$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…4ccabacked Yes | 60c | 1,555$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…78bdbacked No | 73c | 1,494$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.03 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…9e23backed Yes | 7c | 1,473$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,386$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 31c | 1,292$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.37 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb6…f162backed Yes | 46c | 1,239$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 57c | 1,236$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.74 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…3824backed No | 42c | 1,181$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,098$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Yes | 3c | 1,091$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 42c | 1,076$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.61 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 72c | 1,020$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.73 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…2aeebacked No | 49c | 1,008$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd13…b4febacked No | 48c | 966.3$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…74d6backed No | 73c | 953.05$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…a680backed Yes | 67c | 894.47$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 49c | 885.26$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.33 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed No | 72c | 875.49$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…b4f4backed Yes | 7c | 865.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0782…616dbacked Yes | 70c | 851.83$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed No | 44c | 848.59$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.72 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 46c | 826.95$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.52 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Yes | 37c | 812.67$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.61 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 31c | 811.51$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.31 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed No | 46c | 801.84$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.86 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 47c | 798.47$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.63 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb244…95fbbacked Yes | 7c | 759.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 58c | 743.96$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.56 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 70c | 726$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.52 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x469b…bfdabacked Yes | 44c | 720.56$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…8454backed Yes | 79c | 688.77$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed No | 25c | 672.84$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.77 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 670.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 117 | 5.1%6 W · 111 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 39c | 669.3$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 66c | 661.87$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.17 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked No | 37c | 608.56$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.66 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 50c | 608.01$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.96 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…f7ccbacked Yes | 9c | 597.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +159%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 59c | 575.23$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.8 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9440…83b3backed No | 44c | 557.56$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9596…b1e4backed Yes | 24c | 543$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5348…e4ffbacked Yes | 28c | 541.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.05 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be2…c5efbacked No | 43c | 532.51$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +80%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6819…fb70backed No | 11c | 530$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 57c | 528.07$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2e…615bbacked Yes | 44c | 510$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…5320backed No | 56c | 510$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…3a5ebacked Yes | 61c | 502.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked No | 59c | 500$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed Yes | 26c | 500$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 27c | 497.73$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1099…903cbacked Yes | 55c | 480$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf2…1d7ebacked Yes | 23c | 470$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe662…c121backed Yes | 37c | 437.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…a56fbacked No | 46c | 425$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 4c | 423.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…45cdbacked Yes | 25c | 406.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b37…6962backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Yes | 53c | 399.93$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…e039backed No | 44c | 397.78$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 26c | 382.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed Yes | 52c | 378.48$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.69 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 4c | 377.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…3490backed No | 27c | 374.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 38c | 373.67$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.18 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2623…845dbacked Yes | 61c | 373.55$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 7c | 372.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…75edbacked No | 24c | 362.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.39 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…662cbacked Yes | 55c | 361.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054f…875fbacked Yes | 56c | 360.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 78c | 349.19$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.57 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…e335backed Yes | 38c | 346.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Yes | 70c | 339.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 43c | 321.9$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.42 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…7b59backed Yes | 6c | 321.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.