TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x22db…190f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,335
Categories scored
36
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 62 out of 100; worst Space at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT23543.8%103 W · 132 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 235 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+181.8%+$30.93
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,314Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$837.06
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$105.5
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$423.16
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,157.55
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$222.6
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$90.22
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,072Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+55%+$589.3
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$147.45
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$166
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$87.5
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.7%+$134.75
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$298.33
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,497Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+297.5%+$4,452.51
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+77.4%+$96
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+76.5%+$254.67
Will None in 2025 occur?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+74.8%+$460.38
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.62
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.4%+$12.9
Will Mike Waltz be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+86.5%+$185.54
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Showing 25 of 235 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT21751.6%112 W · 105 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 217 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38%+$46.37
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,665Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,664.7
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$121.2
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.8
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$975.91
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$367
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$268.3
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$176
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.94
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400.6
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.71
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+162.7%+$2,416.55
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$365.86
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,131.79
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.9
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.62
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$387.36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,983Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$6,259.59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.22
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,649Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$3,118.63
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$61.2
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.79
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$428
Showing 25 of 217 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT12056.7%68 W · 52 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$123.1
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,861Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+289.2%+$5,383.09
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$1,493.93
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.84
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.41
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$222.55
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.62
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,007Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+127.1%+$1,280.49
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$48
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$295.88
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,037Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$463.4
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.7
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$138.7
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,454Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$2,146.3
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$70
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$193
Will King Charles say "Ukraine" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$64
Will King Charles say "NATO" during the joint meeting of Congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$195.1
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$92.5
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+73.5%+$245.65
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win by at least 250 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$44.04
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 310 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$345.03
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+88.1%+$46.83
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT9853.1%52 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$119.99
Will Warsh say "Iran" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28%+$56.6
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$31.23
Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group think" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20
Will Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will Warsh say "North Star" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.32
Will Powell say "Comment" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.36
Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Powell say "Successor" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.96
Will Powell say "Percent" 20+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.37
Will Powell say "Sorry" or "Pardon" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$35
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$52.57
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,954.49
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$197.43
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,998Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+30.1%+$902.2
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.64
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+179.2%+$256.67
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?backed Trump Announce Fed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+31%+$35.47
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+53.4%+$69.6
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST7939.2%31 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$649.94
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+118.3%+$705.28
Will "President" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.87
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$889.39
Will "ICE" or "Border Patrol" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+201.6%+$52.81
Will "Spanish" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+312.8%+$857.06
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$297.84
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.95
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.98
Will "Trump" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+45.6%+$93.67
Will Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$177.41
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+55.9%+$81.03
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$165
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+55.4%+$145.3
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+48.1%+$214.15
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+54.4%+$92.03
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+48%+$357
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$191
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$279.67
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$72.3
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$89.16
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.7
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35.2
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$258.57
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6665.2%43 W · 23 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.67
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,294.85
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,706Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+54.8%+$934.59
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24.57
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$831Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+60.5%+$502.68
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Trump say "Suit" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+38%+$41.47
Will Trump say "Mineral" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.55
Will Trump say "Percent" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$56.39
Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.21
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$60
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+82.1%+$47.33
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.2
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for 10 seconds or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.42
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.02
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$97.38
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+50.7%+$513.5
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+41.1%+$276.7
Will Trump say "Card" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+32.9%+$74.3
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+73.9%+$225.25
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT6659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$16.26
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$60.6
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$273.69
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$183.99
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.67
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+50.5%+$234.86
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+126%+$167.22
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$54.2
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$433.64
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+70.1%+$144.27
Will Sam Altman say "Terminator" or "Movie" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.8%+$285.21
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+65.6%+$192.22
Will Sam Altman say "ChatGPT" 10+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$981Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.4%+$258.81
Will Sam Altman say "Trump" or "Election" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+59.7%+$85.33
Will Sam Altman say "Silicon Valley" or "Nerd" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+48.2%+$42.31
Will Sam Altman say "Nvidia" or "Bubble" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+77.7%+$30.6
Will Sam Altman say "Elon" or "Musk" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+247.9%+$310.04
Will Sam Altman say "Polymarket" or "Bet" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$131.94
Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$38.42
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+46.6%+$22.26
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$88.17
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.25
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.47
Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+71.4%+$74.99
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT6246.8%29 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+56.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Commodities — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$42.9
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,553Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$1,797.93
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+170.4%+$627.75
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.18
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+200.5%+$500.43
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$363.54
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.39
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.14
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,526Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$669.81
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,829.74
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$69.6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,148.89
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.88
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+1,749.5%+$722.45
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.21
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.09
Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.22
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+124.4%+$27.71
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT5549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$144.46
Will Dee Valladares be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Christian Hubicki be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$164.7
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$95.99
Will Bri McNees and Connor Spies marry by the end of Love is Blind: Season 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25.7%+$24.54
Will "One Battle After Another" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$359.3
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$228.18
Will Jean Smart win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$36.28
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$851Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+38.3%+$325.67
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+57.6%+$255.47
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,904Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.3%+$595.99
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,187Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+32%+$379.68
Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,532Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+30.9%+$473.01
Will "Black to the Future" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$75
Will Blake Lively attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+37.9%+$5.5
Will Ryan Reynolds attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+37.6%+$10.94
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22.84
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Original Score at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Will "Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes" win Best Visual Effects at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14.06
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Will "No Other Land" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+71.8%+$20.9
Will "Wicked" win Best Production Design at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will Kylie Jenner attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$29.5
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT4955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+44%+$122.16
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$848Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$847.93
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$51.8
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$127
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$202.04
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$29.5
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$256.69
Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$13.92
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$86.39
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$45.34
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$154.01
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.75
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$255.27
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$244.3
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.18
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+117.2%+$273.73
Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$280.23
Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+75.6%+$269.09
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 11 straight weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 12 straight weeks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.28
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT4652.2%24 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.31
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$30.72
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.3
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.66
Another Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+165.3%+$49.84
Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+32.7%+$14.8
2025 January hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+62.4%+$172.84
Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+357.7%+$2,496.82
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$973.95
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+89.4%+$387.79
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20.88
Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$45.6
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$721Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+66.3%+$478.39
Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+25.8%+$32.8
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+80.7%+$169.67
2024 December hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+26.6%+$8.4
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+31.3%+$71.44
2024 November hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+37.5%+$40.74
Will there be more than 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+66.7%+$20
Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+227.8%+$902.88
September temperature increase by between 1.29-1.34°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$25.87
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT3537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$22.5
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$591.44
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$82.93
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,049Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+27.1%+$556.07
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$504.34
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$113.59
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.67
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.25
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$113.86
Verstappen vs. Norris backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$13
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
Will Trump attend F1 Miami GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$297.9
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami GP pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will McLaren have the second-highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will McLaren have the second highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Japanese GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+30.5%+$5.85
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+290.6%+$59.52
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.58
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT3372.7%24 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Earnings — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.31
Will Ryanair say "Union" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$234
Will Ryanair say "Elon" or "Musk" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$148.21
Will Ryanair say "ATC" or "Air Traffic Control" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+53.8%+$175
Will Chewy say "International / Internationally" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.6
Will Chewy say "Holiday" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+25.4%+$4.45
Will Dell say "Dividend" 3+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+109.2%+$135.72
Will Dell say "PowerEdge / Power Edge" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$72
Will Dell say "Nvidia" 5+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+158.2%+$91.9
Will Dell say "Zoho" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$24.5
Will Walmart say "Competition" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+161.4%+$108.05
Will Walmart say "Shutdown / Shut Down" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+57.1%+$100.99
Will Walmart say "SNAP" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+65.3%+$29.09
Will Walmart say "OpenAI" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$57
Will Disney say "DraftKings" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+82.5%+$36.16
Will Disney say "Debt" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+38.9%+$33.6
Will Disney say "Acquisition" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$70.13
Will Disney say "YouTube TV" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Will Disney say "Abu Dhabi" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will DraftKings say "Canada" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$24.8
Will DraftKings say "Regulation" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50.49
Will DraftKings say "NBC" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$278.94
Will Uber say "Driver Incentives" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+38.9%+$16.4
Will Uber say "Market Share" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+36.7%+$13.96
Will Uber say "Freight" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34.34
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,131.11
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$239.75
Will Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+43.3%+$268.81
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+34.5%+$278.99
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$29.6
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$253.84
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+43.1%+$90.4
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+85.9%+$499.1
Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+51.1%+$228.73
Will the Associated Press first call the 2025 NYC mayoral election between 9:00 PM and 9:59 PM ET on Nov 4 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+38.6%+$170.53
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$115.5
Will Chuck Schumer endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Will anyone say "Public transport" 3+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,235Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$450.98
Will anyone say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+48.2%+$21.63
Will anyone say "Public transport" 3+ times during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+113%+$437.96
Will anyone say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+59.9%+$132.7
Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$861Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+77.6%+$668.45
Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+76.7%+$765.94
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.35
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$92.8
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+26.6%+$16.8
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2080%16 W · 4 L+4.9wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+49.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$11.71
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+208.8%+$338.13
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,493Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$1,159.39
Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$33.59
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$120.37
Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$41.19
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$16.48
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$97.23
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$103.15
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,986Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$3,450.69
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$19
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+337.8%+$214.5
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$340.95
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.58
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+61.9%+$65.05
Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.93
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$891Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+56%+$499.61
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 50% on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.8
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Six Seven" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.2
Will Vitality win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+93.1%+$530.39
Will MOUZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.81
Will FaZe win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.75
BLAST.tv Austin Major: FaZe vs. The MongolZbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.6
Will Natus Vincere win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will FURIA win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.63
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+224.2%+$69.15
Will Legacy win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Vitality win the IEM Dallas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+71.4%+$45.84
Will Falcons win the IEM Dallas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Team Spirit win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+928.8%+$94.79
Will Natus Vincere win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$18
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Rio 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+142.7%+$171.11
Will Team Vitality win IEM Rio 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will G2 Esports win IEM Rio 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$330
ESL Counter-Strike Semifinals: Eternal Fire vs MIBRbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.83
ESL Counter-Strike Quarterfinals: G2 vs Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$49.31
ESL Counter-Strike Quarterfinals: Spirit vs Natus Vincerebacked Natus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT+57.4%+$74.39
All 20 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$733.21
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+26.6%+$52.5
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$417.33
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$54.6
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Dictator" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$99.55
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$295.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$295.83
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+74.3%+$170.5
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+30.2%+$51.88
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+29.9%+$41.4
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+100%+$35
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+62.6%+$127.09
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+26.7%+$101.1
Maduro out before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$18
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2025, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-61.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ye tweet again by next Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Elon tweet 150-199 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.7
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.71
Will Elon tweet 180 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2024, EDT+198.3%+$66.08
Will Elon tweet 160-179 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.21
Will Elon tweet 150-159 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$13.44
Trump posts 40 or more times on X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Elon tweet between 140-149 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Elon tweet 150 or more times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Elon tweet between 120-129 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.52
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.55
Will Donald Trump be shown 0-2 times at the World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+148.1%+$108.82
Will Donald Trump be shown 9-11 times at the World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$32.25
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$32.75
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$53.5
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$39.25
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.76
Will Kanye launch a coin by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+37%+$6.75
Will Enron launch a token in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+29.9%+$9.38
Dogecoin above $0.40 on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$115.54
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+25%+$14
Dogecoin above $0.37 on November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$19.49
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,234Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+26.4%+$326.22
LayerZero airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT+74.7%+$56.01
Will Andrew Tate burn all his $DADDY by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2024, EDT+302.5%+$142.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+41.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-41%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+47.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-50.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Space — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2024, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-42.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2024, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+49.7%+$16.46
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Gukesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+65.4%+$150.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Competition" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.39
NVIDIA largest company before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT+38.3%+$55.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high day after election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$23.1
Bitcoin all time high in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+189.6%+$235.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.