NFL · resolved market
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0982d83a9ec2e63a62af868d4e014e8d7eb6ca3cbbdf769b2454038c5b056cd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,933,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,761,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,933,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 415 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a7…e661backed Yes | 7c | 689,841$51,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,028 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 346,082$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.8 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 1c | 234,096$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.86 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 1c | 203,267$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.33 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…0bdebacked Yes | 7c | 178,913$11,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,816.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 168,187$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.14 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…9c48backed Yes | 4c | 145,593$5,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,513 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 1c | 136,640$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.58 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 1c | 132,919$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.3 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes | 1c | 130,525$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.98 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes | 3c | 114,046$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363.82 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 108,399$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.32 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes | 1c | 106,705$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.88 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 2c | 83,720$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.98 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…0554backed Yes | 6c | 78,659$4,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,813.65 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…2edbbacked Yes | 1c | 77,534$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e1…2ec3backed Yes | 1c | 75,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 4c | 74,491$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.19 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes | 1c | 61,958$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.94 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 59,374$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.44 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Yes | 1c | 57,677$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.3 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 4c | 55,224$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.64 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…42dcbacked Yes | 1c | 54,841$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.61 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes | 1c | 47,994$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.39 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 47,191$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.91 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…ba65backed Yes | 4c | 42,792$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.51 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 6c | 39,051$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.18 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 1c | 38,657$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.76 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 2c | 38,648$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.86 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 1c | 38,053$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.96 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 32,978$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.84 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 3c | 32,092$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 6c | 30,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a66…a371backed Yes | 6c | 29,419$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 4c | 29,410$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.28 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 4c | 29,379$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.82 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Yes | 3c | 29,324$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.85 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Yes | 6c | 28,273$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.81 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…d56fbacked Yes | 1c | 28,188$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…1d0abacked Yes | 1c | 28,098$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +228.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 7c | 27,739$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.82 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 5c | 26,998$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.11 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes | 5c | 23,885$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.22 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Yes | 1c | 23,428$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.42 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…cb01backed Yes | 1c | 23,357$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…cf85backed Yes | 6c | 22,881$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d7…5961backed Yes | 2c | 22,861$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…a3ddbacked Yes | 7c | 21,996$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Yes | 1c | 21,906$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.77 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 3c | 21,711$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.9 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…2ab3backed Yes | 2c | 20,466$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…2770backed Yes | 2c | 20,409$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.54 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Yes | 2c | 18,017$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.4 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked Yes | 1c | 17,850$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Yes | 6c | 16,612$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 1c | 16,495$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.77 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 16,197$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.78 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…95a3backed Yes | 1c | 15,404$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.45 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +98%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7ce8backed Yes | 2c | 15,031$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 3c | 15,010$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.12 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes | 2c | 15,000$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 13,870$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.94 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 2c | 12,783$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes | 1c | 12,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 1c | 11,905$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.11 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ceb…0f9ebacked Yes | 1c | 11,686$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.18 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 1c | 11,572$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…3a4cbacked Yes | 1c | 11,531$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 11,505$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.73 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8c…d699backed Yes | 2c | 11,264$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.76 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 2c | 11,062$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.67 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +170.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes | 5c | 10,859$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.62 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 2c | 10,545$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a5…6112backed Yes | 1c | 10,531$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.86 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes | 1c | 10,404$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3d…b2a9backed Yes | 4c | 10,281$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yes | 5c | 10,270$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.83 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,003$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…51bbbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…b21bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…3681backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 9,201$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.73 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…054dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,728$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…c0d4backed Yes | 6c | 8,186$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.58 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Yes | 3c | 8,012$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…c903backed Yes | 6c | 8,000$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…a1e2backed Yes | 6c | 7,854$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 3c | 7,661$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.03 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…1cd2backed Yes | 1c | 6,920$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bc94backed Yes | 7c | 6,912$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.95 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8484…f392backed Yes | 1c | 6,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 5c | 6,640$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.63 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5b…567dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,582$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Yes | 6c | 6,414$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…16afbacked Yes | 1c | 6,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…fa16backed Yes | 7c | 6,035$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…af5abacked Yes | 6c | 6,000$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.