NFL · resolved market
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb232c915770ea41eb3ec3dbb2c7209c727759237383850f51045be7ffa3975e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,236,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,201,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,236,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,647 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,187,058$28,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,017.11 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 1c | 1,830,689$10,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,260.23 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…55ffbacked Yes | 1c | 1,315,120$7,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,654.47 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed Yes | 0c | 1,203,450$3,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,829.26 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes | 0c | 971,837$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.31 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…0554backed Yes | 1c | 732,225$4,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,433.16 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 624,429$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.72 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…4d70backed Yes | 0c | 606,462$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Yes | 1c | 475,938$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,212.44 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Yes | 0c | 408,695$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.08 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 385,937$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.1 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Yes | 0c | 333,327$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Yes | 1c | 333,300$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.1 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 1c | 311,242$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.45 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed Yes | 0c | 301,333$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 0c | 289,000$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.74 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 1c | 285,999$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 1c | 281,763$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.95 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 263,165$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.37 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 1c | 257,603$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.68 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…128fbacked Yes | 0c | 255,810$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 1c | 255,734$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.38 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 233,297$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.42 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…95a3backed Yes | 0c | 224,132$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.26 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +98%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Yes | 0c | 222,199$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes | 1c | 215,750$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.02 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Yes | 1c | 209,000$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Yes | 1c | 201,000$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Yes | 1c | 200,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…0468backed Yes | 0c | 193,313$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.94 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 193,295$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.3 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…247fbacked Yes | 1c | 190,813$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…fb08backed Yes | 1c | 167,415$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.29 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9809…108fbacked Yes | 1c | 146,172$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.76 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…558dbacked Yes | 1c | 142,222$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 1c | 138,000$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes | 1c | 137,363$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ee…9ababacked Yes | 0c | 135,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -87%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a5…6112backed Yes | 1c | 125,881$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 1c | 125,000$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 121,194$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.89 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes | 1c | 114,582$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.41 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…ddd3backed Yes | 1c | 113,366$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 109,573$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.72 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d5…6240backed Yes | 1c | 109,329$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.01 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 1c | 108,760$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.62 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…be74backed Yes | 1c | 107,761$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7874…2767backed Yes | 1c | 107,561$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…d862backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…9e65backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…28b9backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 98,000$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…4e3fbacked Yes | 1c | 97,572$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…e6c2backed Yes | 1c | 96,821$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bb…50dcbacked Yes | 1c | 93,396$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…8532backed Yes | 1c | 92,690$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…b308backed Yes | 1c | 88,425$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.11 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…3732backed Yes | 1c | 88,049$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.29 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8c…d699backed Yes | 1c | 81,539$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.94 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes | 1c | 80,399$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.21 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 1c | 79,659$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.61 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Yes | 1c | 77,000$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes | 1c | 75,000$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…5593backed Yes | 1c | 74,668$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 1c | 73,952$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.9 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 1c | 73,918$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.43 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…7750backed Yes | 1c | 71,930$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…1339backed Yes | 0c | 71,727$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.37 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14f…d518backed Yes | 1c | 71,500$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…58ebbacked Yes | 1c | 71,369$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…9af9backed Yes | 1c | 70,992$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.02 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…5f85backed Yes | 1c | 70,735$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes | 1c | 70,501$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.89 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…8ce2backed Yes | 1c | 69,692$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…3681backed Yes | 1c | 67,303$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.87 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…4852backed Yes | 1c | 66,792$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Yes | 1c | 66,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa484…b74cbacked Yes | 1c | 66,129$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…1ec1backed Yes | 1c | 64,412$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.68 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a7…4f55backed Yes | 1c | 63,786$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…6e84backed Yes | 1c | 63,657$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…e07ebacked Yes | 1c | 63,400$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cda…351abacked Yes | 1c | 63,100$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd822…82d7backed Yes | 1c | 62,943$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…8e99backed Yes | 1c | 62,857$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…8253backed Yes | 1c | 62,852$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…1bdabacked Yes | 1c | 62,143$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992f…c40abacked Yes | 1c | 60,952$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 1c | 60,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…2a24backed Yes | 1c | 60,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…42dcbacked Yes | 1c | 60,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…d770backed Yes | 1c | 56,972$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.7 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…e5e7backed Yes | 0c | 56,354$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 1c | 55,000$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeeb…e6b0backed Yes | 1c | 54,587$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…27f1backed Yes | 1c | 53,851$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…6c95backed Yes | 0c | 53,033$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.9 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd016…06adbacked Yes | 1c | 51,899$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.